Sunday 26 April 2009

Political hot air evaporates the region’s natural gas hopes

The Middle East’s chances of one day selling pipeline gas to Europe are fading as the strategic Nabucco project remains stuck in a web of political brinkmanship.

Construction of the proposed €7.9 billion (Dh38.43bn) Turkey-to-Austria link, which would provide a vital conduit for Caspian and Middle-Eastern gas to reach markets in Europe, is supposed to start in 2011, after the project partners make a final investment decision next year.

But scepticism abounds that the targets will be met due to wavering EU support for the pipeline, Turkish efforts to use it as a political bargaining chip, the shifting landscape of Central Asian relations with Russia, and long delays likely in the development of significant gas exports from Iraq and Iran.

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