Wednesday 7 April 2010

Venezuela: still the world’s riskiest sovereign (and other stories)



CMA DataVision released its quarterly global sovereign credit risk report on Tuesday, featuring 17 pages replete with charts and data on the ever-so-topical question: who’s the riskiest of them all?
If five-year credit default swaps are a reasonable indicator of default risk, Venezuela continues its run as the riskiest sovereign, with a 48.5 per cent cumulative probability of default (CPD) within the next five years and a CDS spread quoted in points upfront.
Greece ranks 9th by CMA’s metrics, with a 25.4 per cent 5-year CPD.
The chart below includes the top 10 riskiest sovereigns, as measured by CMA (click to enlarge):
CMA chart of the world's riskiest sovereign debt
CMA chart of the world's riskiest sovereign debt

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