Monday 23 December 2013

Russia Crisis Haunts Deutsche Bank’s Smith Seeing China Bust - Bloomberg

Russia Crisis Haunts Deutsche Bank’s Smith Seeing China Bust - Bloomberg:

"China is winning praise from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Morgan Stanley and Jefferies Group LLC, which predicted last month a “massive” multiyear bull run for stocks.

John-Paul Smith doesn’t share the enthusiasm.

When the Deutsche Bank AG equity strategist looks at the country, he says he detects some of the same signs of a financial meltdown that led him to predict Russia’s 1998 stock market crash months in advance. China’s expansion is being fueled by soaring corporate borrowing, a high-risk model that needs to be replaced by the kind of free-market measures and budget cuts that fed Russia’s growth in the aftermath of the country’s default and subsequent 44 percent monthly tumble in the Micex Index (INDEXCF), Smith said."

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