Sunday, 27 June 2010

Arbitrage Opportunity: Triple Your Money « Alpha Dinar- talking GCC finance

In economics and finance, arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a price difference between two or more markets: striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance, the profit being the difference between the market prices. When used by academics, an arbitrage is a transaction that involves no negative cash flow at any probabilistic or temporal state and a positive cash flow in at least one state; in simple terms, it is the possibility of a risk-free profit at zero cost.Wikipedia.

In our GCC markets we have some arbitrage opportunities in some stocks with dual listings. Some might have a marginal profit opportunity; others might almost make you double your investment. Global Investment House, which is listed both in the KSE and the DFM is traded at KD0.058 and KD0.103 respectively, indicating an arbitrage opportunity of almost 77% whereby you can buy Global stock in the KSE and sell it in the DFM. GFH, which is listed in the KSE, DFM and BSE can also provide you with a risk-free return. The difference between GFH’s price in KSE (KD0.039) and DFM (KD 0.040) is 2%, however, in the BSE it’s priced at KD0.108, thus potentially tripling your money.

The graph below shows the mispricing in Global’s stock in the KSE and DFM.

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