Guest post: taking a view on Ukraine amid ever-present risk from Russia | beyondbrics:
"Ukraine is a fast-moving target, making any appraisal something of a work in progress. But taking the country on a stand-alone basis, I see a number of positives:
First, parliamentary elections held last weekend produced a strong majority for reform and even the prospect of a constitutional majority. Pro-EU reform parties took 70 per cent plus of the votes and could have 275 seats in parliament, and even over 300 with independents and some of the more populist/nationalist elements. As with the presidential elections, Ukrainians voted firmly in favour of a pro-western reform agenda. Extreme nationalists performed poorly, as did supporters of the former Regions regime.
Second, despite some concern over politicking for positions in the new cabinet between the For Poroshenko Party (FPP) and the People’s Front (PF) of Arseny Yatseniuk, President Petro Poroshenko again showed his remarkable ability to compromise by agreeing to cede the post of prime minister to Yatseniuk, as the PF did win the popular poll – just. This should be good for continuity, stability and reform. The FPP and PF should have around 210 seats in parliament together. With support from the liberal Self-reliance (Samopomich), moderate reform parties should command a solid majority."
'via Blog this'
No comments:
Post a Comment