Friday, 3 May 2019

COLUMN-Oil market will tighten sharply when U.S. refineries return from maintenance: Kemp - Reuters

COLUMN-Oil market will tighten sharply when U.S. refineries return from maintenance: Kemp - Reuters:

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have been rising in recent weeks, which some observers have interpreted as evidence the global oil market is adequately supplied and blame for a sudden decline in oil prices.

But this narrative cannot explain the steep backwardation in futures prices for global grades such as Brent, which is usually associated with a market that is significantly under-supplied.

In fact, U.S. commercial inventories have been rising much less than normal for the time of year - even though refiners are undertaking heavy maintenance, which would otherwise have resulted in a larger stock build.

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