Monday 27 July 2009

‘Goldilocks’ and the fantasy about the ‘fair price’ of oil

In 1969, the Shah of Iran, visiting Washington for Eisenhower’s funeral, offered to sell the United States a million barrels of oil per day for 10 years at US$1 per barrel. The Americans found the price too high, and turned the offer down. By 1974, with the first oil shock underway, oil was selling for $12. Arguments about a “fair oil price” have continued ever since.

But is this idea of fairness even meaningful? What is a “fair” price for oil, acceptable to both buyers and sellers? Could the world agree on such a price?

This concept of fairness is an interesting one. We do not often talk about the fair price of a Porsche, a mobile phone or a Starbucks coffee. It is accepted that these items are priced in a competitive market, and we are free to buy, or not, as we choose.

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