Tuesday 31 October 2023

Mideast Stocks: Most Gulf markets gain on upbeat earnings, ahead of US Fed meeting

Mideast Stocks: Most Gulf markets gain on upbeat earnings, ahead of US Fed meeting


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on Tuesday on upbeat corporate earnings as investors awaited interest rate decisions by U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. The Fed is expected to leave policy rates on hold at the end of its two-day meeting that starts on Tuesday. Market participants will focus on the message from policymakers to gauge the interest rate outlook.

Most Gulf Cooperation Council countries, including the UAE, have their currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar and follow the Fed's policy moves closely, exposing the region to the direct impact of monetary tightening in the world's largest economy.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index advanced 1.5%, buoyed by a 10% surge in Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co following an upbeat quarterly earnings report. The telecoms firm, which recorded its best day since March, reported second-quarter net profit of 47.9 million riyals ($12.77 million), up from 6.6 million riyals year ago.

The Saudi stock market extended its gains and continued to see improving performances in the banking sector and others. Company earnings could continue to affect local sentiment, said George Pavel, general manager at Capex.com Middle East.

"However, the market could be exposed to price corrections if traders move to secure their gains." Elsewhere, oil giant Saudi Aramco rose 1.1%. Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - edged up helped by a drop in euro zone inflation but were pinned below $90 a barrel on weak Chinese economic data and as the conflict in the Middle East remained contained.

Dubai's main share index finished 1% higher, with blue-chip developer Emaar Properties rising 2.9%. 

In Abu Dhabi, the index added 0.6%. 

The Qatari benchmark edged 0.1% higher, helped by a 5.3% jump in Ooredoo, a day after the telecoms firm reported a sharp rise in third-quarter profit.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index declined 3.8%, retreating from a record high, as most of the constituents were in negative territory including Abu Qir Fertilizers.

Growth risks to restrain oil in 2024, but Mideast risks loom large, Reuters poll shows | Reuters

Growth risks to restrain oil in 2024, but Mideast risks loom large, Reuters poll shows | Reuters


Slow global economic growth will keep crude prices anchored below $90 a barrel this year and next, unless the Israel-Hamas conflict draws in more countries in the Middle East and exacerbates supply tightness, a Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

A survey of 40 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $84.80 a barrel this year, and $86.62 in 2024, little changed from estimates of $84.09 and $86.45 projected in September.

The global benchmark Brent crude has averaged around $82.60 a barrel so far this year.

U.S. crude forecasts were also a tad higher at $80.32 a barrel for 2023 and $83.02 next year, from the $79.64 and $82.99 consensus last month.

"The major drivers will continue to be geopolitics and the extent of economic growth," said John Paisie, president of Stratas Advisors.

If the Middle East situation spins out of control, the price of Brent crude will likely test $115 or higher if there is a disruption to oil supply, Paisie added.

Lyten Plans US, Europe Gigafactories to Spread ‘Cleaner’ Battery - Bloomberg

Lyten Plans US, Europe Gigafactories to Spread ‘Cleaner’ Battery - Bloomberg


A US-based lithium-sulfur battery maker plans to set up a gigafactory in both the US and Europe over the coming four or five years as part of a quest to spread a technology it claims is lighter and greener than traditional alternatives.

Based in San Jose, California, Lyten Inc. has raised funding in the US to commercialize lithium-sulfur batteries that have a higher energy density than batteries in current use.

The batteries, based on technology dubbed 3D Graphene, meet or exceed batteries in current use in all key performance metrics including lifespan and are easier to recycle, Chairman and Co-Founder Lars Herlitz said in an interview last week on the sidelines of a conference in Budapest, Hungary.

The company aims to produce its first commercial battery cells by year-end and deliver them in early 2024.

The company, whose partners include automotive giant Stellantis NV, is setting up a European headquarters in Luxembourg, and is in “advanced” research and development talks there, Herlitz said.

Herlitz said the gigafactories would be configured to use biogas for production as planned, boosting their sustainability.

Discussions are also ongoing with Hungarian officials about potential cooperation, given the eastern European Union member’s already heavy presence in battery making, he said.

The batteries are currently meant for use in transportation and heavy industry, Herlitz said, adding there’s great investor interest for the technology in the Middle East, not just the US and Europe.

Most major Gulf markets gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Most major Gulf markets gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Most major stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Tuesday as investors awaited interest rate decisions by U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.

The Fed is expected to leave policy rates on hold at the end of its two-day meeting that starts on Tuesday. Market participants will focus on the message from policymakers to gauge the interest rate outlook.

Most Gulf Cooperation Council countries, including the UAE, have their currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar and follow the Fed's policy moves closely, exposing the region to the direct impact of monetary tightening in the world's largest economy.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) advanced 1%, buoyed by a 10% surge in Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co (7040.SE) following an upbeat quarterly earnings.

The telecoms firm, which is on track for its best day since Oct. 15, reported second-quarter net profit of 47.9 million riyals ($12.77 million), up from 6.6 million riyals year ago.

Separately, the World Bank said on Monday it expected global oil prices to average $90 a barrel in the fourth quarter and fall to an average of $81 in 2023 as slowing growth eases demand, but warned that an escalation of the latest Middle East conflict could spike prices significantly higher.

Oil prices - a key factor for the Gulf's financial markets, rose in Asian trade after a drop of more than 3% in the previous session, as worries over supply stirred by conflict in the Middle East blunted a dismal showing of China data.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) gained 0.2%, helped by a 1.2% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU).

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFDGI) added 0.3%.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) eased 0.5%, with petrochemical maker Industries Qatar (IQCD.QA) losing 3.5%.

Israeli troops and tanks attacked Gaza's main northern city from the east and west on Monday, three days after it began ground operations in the Palestinian enclave.

At least 8,306 Palestinians have been killed, including 3,457 children, in Israeli strikes on Gaza since Oct. 7, the health ministry in Hamas-controlled Gaza said on Monday.

#SaudiArabia Economy: GDP Fell 4.5% in Third Quarter Amid Oil-Supply Cuts - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia Economy: GDP Fell 4.5% in Third Quarter Amid Oil-Supply Cuts - Bloomberg


Saudi Arabia’s economy suffered its biggest contraction since 2020 during the third quarter, after the kingdom cut oil production to push up prices.

Gross domestic product shrunk 4.5% in the third quarter compared to a year earlier, driven by a 17% drop in the oil economy, according to preliminary data by the General Authority of Statistics. Growth in the non-oil economy also slowed.

That’s the biggest contraction in three years, when the coronavirus pandemic was wreaking havoc across global economies, and the first output drop since the start of 2021.

The world’s biggest crude exporter enacted a unilateral oil production cut in July, putting its output at 9 million barrels a day. The kingdom’s now producing almost 1 million barrels a day below its average for the past decade, and seems likely to remain at current output levels until at least the end of this year.

Monday 30 October 2023

Aldar Sees International Demand for Its First #Dubai Houses - Bloomberg

Aldar Sees International Demand for Its First Dubai Houses - Bloomberg

Aldar Properties PJSC, Abu Dhabi’s biggest developer, is starting sales of its first housing development in neighboring Dubai as strong demand in the Middle East’s business and tourism hub provides a lucrative opportunity for developers.

The firm is planning three projects in Dubai with a total development value of 20 billion dirhams ($5.4 billion). Its joint venture with Dubai Holding will kick off sales at Haven, a development of 2,400 homes, on Tuesday, Aldar’s acting chief finance and sustainability officer Faisal Falaknaz said in a call with reporters on Monday.

Dubai’s property market has broken a decade-long record for total home sales and seen rents jump to unprecedented levels. The rebound from a seven-year slump has been fueled by an influx of newcomers, from crypto millionaires and bankers relocating from Asia, to wealthy Russians seeking to shield assets. The government has also relaxed visa laws and introduced visas for job seekers and freelancers.

“The demand over the past week has been astounding,” Falaknaz said. “We’re getting a lot of queries internationally.”

The homes at Haven, which have prices starting at 2.5 million dirhams, will be sold in phases based on demand, he said. Amenities will include a central park, pools and play areas for children along with a community center built in the shape of a tree house, according to marketing materials.

Aldar said separately on Monday that its attributable profit for the third quarter reached 794.2 million dirhams, a 43% increase from a year earlier. The company has a backlog of 29.1 billion dirhams in development revenue that’ll be booked over the next two to three years. Falaknaz said the company’s next project in Dubai will start next year.

#Dubai residential rents jump 27.2% in Q3

Dubai residential rents jump 27.2% in Q3

Dubai’s residential rents jumped 27.2 per cent in the third quarter of 2023 compared to the same period last year, and 2.1 per cent since the previous quarter.

Villa rentals rose 38.7 per cent annually but witnessed an insignificant change when compared to the previous quarter, ValuStrat’s Q3 report said.

Average annual rents for three-bedroom villas stood at Dh312,000, four-beds at Dh383,000, and five-bedroom villas at Dh492,000. Apartment asking rents grew 19.1 per cent YoY and 3.6 per cent QoQ. Average asking rents per annum for studio apartments were Dh51,000, for one-bedroom at Dh 75,000, two-bedroom at Dh111,000, and three-bedroom apartments were Dh170,000. Residential occupancy in Dubai was estimated at 88.9 per cent during the third quarter.

According to a CBRE Group report, average residential prices in Dubai rose by 19.6 per cent in the year to September 2023, where over this period, average apartment and villa prices increased by 19.7 per cent and 18.9 per cent, respectively. "Although demand remains relatively elevated, we continue to see further moderation in the rental market. The rate of rental growth has softened throughout the year, where in the year to September 2023, average residential rents in Dubai increased by 20.6 per cent, down from the 21.7 per cent growth registered a month earlier."

In terms of supply, in the year to date, 27,095 residential units are estimated to have been delivered, with 46.4 per cent of this supply being located in Meydan One, Downtown Dubai and Business Bay. A further 34,651 units are expected to be handed over the remainder of the year, the CBRE report said.

Most Gulf markets end higher ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Most Gulf markets end higher ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf closed higher on Monday as investors were focused on the outlook for interest rates ahead of this week's U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting, overlooking the potential impact of the Israel-Gaza war.

The Federal Reserve meeting, which concludes on Wednesday, is likely to dominate a busy week that has U.S. employment data and earnings from tech heavyweight like Apple Inc (AAPL.O) on its calendar.

The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged, possibly setting the course for stocks and bonds the rest for the year.

The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also announce policy decisions in the coming days.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is usually guided by Fed decisions as most regional currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 0.5%, with digital solutions provider Elm Company (7203.SE) advancing 2.3%, a day after reporting a sharp rise in quarterly profit.

The Saudi stock market extended its rebound, thanks to company earnings, said Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB MENA.

"However, it could come under pressure as caution could dominate ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting."

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) finished 1.7% higher, rebounding from its lowest in over three years, with all but one stock closing in positive territory, including Commercial Bank (COMB.QA), which jumped 4.5%. Telecoms firm Ooredoo (ORDS.QA) leapt 4.7%.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) climbed 1.4%, with toll operator Salik (SALIK.DU) surging 5.6%.

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) added 0.5%.

Israeli troops and tanks attacked Gaza's main northern city from the east and west on Monday, three days after it began ground operations in the Palestinian enclave that have increased international pressure for civilians to be protected.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) closed 1.5% higher, led by an 11.6% surge in tobacco monopoly Eastern Company (EAST.CA).

How #SaudiArabia’s PIF Wealth Fund and MBS Aim to Build a Post-Oil Future - Bloomberg

How Saudi Arabia’s PIF Wealth Fund and MBS Aim to Build a Post-Oil Future - Bloomberg


Saudi Arabia is in a race to build a post-oil future, and its sovereign wealth fund is spreading around the oil-rich kingdom’s largess as never before. The Public Investment Fund, better known as the PIF, has emerged as the main vehicle for the expansive ambitions of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the de-facto leader, who is reshaping the country with his own brand of state capitalism. The drive includes big bets in global sports including golf and soccer, which fits with a strategy to promote tourism, improve Saudi Arabia’s image abroad and enhance the quality of life for citizens who’ve only recently been freed from some of the country’s most onerous religious restrictions. The size of the fund and the scope of its spending spree – assets are nearly $800 billion – has made the PIF both a force for modernizing Saudi Arabia and a tool for so-called soft power on the global stage.

1. What is the PIF?
Set up in 1971 as oil revenue was pouring in, the PIF provided development loans and held the state’s passive interest in publicly traded companies. Then, in March 2015, the fund was “reborn,” according to its website, and placed under Prince Mohammed, its chairman. Soon after, the prince, who is known as MBS, expanded his authority and embarked on an effort to remake the traditional Muslim country of 36 million people. Saudi watchers say the PIF operates like a family office, enabling MBS to direct the state’s funds more like a venture-capital firm, bypassing a slow-moving bureaucracy.

#Qatar Stock Exchange to shift to shortened settlement cycle T+2 from January 2

Qatar Stock Exchange to shift to shortened settlement cycle T+2 from January 2

The Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE) will shift to a shortened settlement period 'T+2' from the present 'T+3", effective from January 2, 2024, a move that will help investors receive their cash faster and substantially reduce the operational and counterparty risks.

"During the period from now until the implementation of the shortening process, both QSE and Edaa will make necessary updates to the rules and procedures related to the settlement reduction process," QSE confirmed the date in a communique.

The endeavour is to follow the best international practices in the global financial markets in order to provide the best ways and functions to enhance the efficiency of Qatar’s securities market, it said.

The settlement cycle has remained at trade date plus three business days (T+3) in Qatar, where the global fund managers have been eyeing the fastest growing economy due to its strong macro fundamentals, especially after Qatar unveiled plans to enhance its liquefied natural gas production to 126mn tonnes per annum by 2027, which offered indirect benefits to the private sector as well.

#Dubai Taxi IPO: RTA Seeks About $300 Million - Bloomberg

Dubai Taxi IPO: RTA Seeks About $300 Million - Bloomberg

Dubai Taxi Corp., a unit of the emirate’s transport authority, is seeking to raise about $300 million from a share sale next month in what’s set to be city’s first privatization of the year, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

As part of the initial public offering, the taxi operator plans to pay a fourth-quarter dividend of at least 71 million dirhams ($19 million) in April, according to an investor presentation seen by Bloomberg. After that, Dubai Taxi will pay at least 85% of its annual net profit in two dividend payments from the 2024 fiscal year, the presentation shows.

Dubai’s Roads & Transport Authority is working with Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., and Emirates NBD Capital on the offering that will list in Dubai, Bloomberg News has previously reported.

A representative for the RTA didn’t respond to a request for comment.

The RTA is monetizing more of its assets after its owner, the Dubai government, raised $1 billion from an IPO of the city’s road-toll operator, Salik Co., in 2022. An IPO of Dubai Parking is expected to follow the taxi business listing.

The Middle East has been in the midst of an IPO boom since late 2021, buoyed by high oil prices and government privatization drives. But activity in Dubai, in particular, has slowed from a blockbuster 2022 after a decline in some regional stock markets in the first half.

Major Gulf bourses gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Major Gulf bourses gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Major stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Monday ahead of this week's U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting, overlooking for now fears of a wider conflict in the region as Israeli troops press ahead with a ground assault in Gaza.

The Federal Reserve meeting which concludes on Wednesday is likely to dominate a busy week, which also offers U.S. employment data and earnings from tech heavyweight Apple Inc (AAPL.O), possibly setting the course for stocks and bonds the rest of the year.

The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. The Bank of England and Bank of Japan will also announce policy decisions in the coming days.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is usually guided by Fed decisions as most regional currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 1%, with oil giant Saudi Aramco (2222.SE) rising 0.6% and Bupa Arabia For Cooperative Insurance (8210.SE) up 8.4%.

Riyadh Cables (4142.SE) also jumped 3% after third-quarter earnings exceeded market expectations.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) rose 0.8%, led by a 2.7% gain for top lender Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU) and a 1.6% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU).

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) added 0.6%.

Emirati agribusiness Al Dahra is in talks to acquire more agricultural land in Egypt, two sources with direct knowledge of the matter said, in a deal that could reduce Cairo's dependence on imports of staple crops but also reignite water use concerns.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) was 2.4% higher with almost all its constituent stocks in positive territory, including a 4.2% gain for Commercial Bank (COMB.QA).

Israel's military said it had struck more than 600 militant targets over the past few days as it continued to expand ground operations in the Gaza Strip, where Palestinian civilians are in dire need of fuel, food and clean water as the conflict enters its fourth week.

Sunday 29 October 2023

Mideast Markets Price Low Probability of Wider Regional War - Bloomberg

Mideast Markets Price Low Probability of Wider Regional War - Bloomberg


Middle Eastern markets that opened on Sunday showed little sign of panic a day after Israel started its ground invasion of Gaza.

Israel’s TA-35 stock index was up 1.3% at the close in Tel Aviv, its first gain in three trading days. The index is down 11% since Israel declared war after a Hamas infiltration on Oct. 7. Moves on other major equity exchanges in the region were mostly subdued, with the Tadawul All Share Index in Riyadh and Qatar’s gauge rising less than 1% each. The EGX30 gauge in Cairo fell 0.8% and stocks in Kuwait dropped 2.5%.

With a ground invasion of Gaza widely expected before it began on Saturday, investors have been on alert for any signs that the conflict could expand, for example by deepening hostilities with other regional powers and drawing in other nations, including Iran and possibly the US. Saudi Arabia and the UAE condemned the intensified ground operations over the weekend as Israel warned they were the beginning of a long war.

#Saudi, #Qatar markets rise on upbeat corporate earnings; Egypt falls | Reuters

Saudi, Qatar markets rise on upbeat corporate earnings; Egypt falls | Reuters


Saudi Arabia and Qatar's stock markets ended higher on Sunday boosted by solid earnings reports from banks and other companies, although worries that tensions in Israel and Gaza could spread into a wider conflict weighed on sentiment.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 0.7%, led by a 3.6% rise in auto rental firm Lumi (4262.SE), while Etihad Atheeb Telecommunications Co (7040.SE) finished 2.1% higher.

The telecom firm agreed a 48 million riyal ($12.79 million) settlement with Tawal - a tower infrastructure unit that Saudi Telecom Co (STC) (7010.SE) carved out in 2018 - over a tower sharing agreement.

Shares of STC were up 2.2%.

Elsewhere, Dr Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group (4013.SE) jumped 6.4%, its biggest intraday gain since Nov. 2020, after reporting a sharp rise in third-quarter profit.

The firm also proposed a dividend of 1.17 riyal per share for the quarter ending Sept. 30.

Separately, foreign companies are scrambling to meet a Saudi deadline to locate their regional headquarters in the kingdom by January amid a lack of clarity over regulation, tax and potential incentives to encourage the move, Reuters reported on Friday, citing executives.

Firms risk losing hundreds of billions of dollars in government contracts in Saudi Arabia if their regional headquarters are based elsewhere.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) added 0.4%, with sharia-compliant lender Masraf Al Rayan (MARK.QA) jumping 8.8%, logging its best day in nearly eight years, on upbeat third-quarter earnings.

The lender reported third-quarter net profit of 486.4 million riyals ($133.61 million), up from 331.3 million riyals a year earlier.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) dropped 0.8%, as most of the constituents on the index were in negative territory including Abu Qir Fertilizers (ABUK.CA), which dropped 6.5%.

Egypt's President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi on Saturday warned against any expansion of the conflict in Gaza, saying the region risked becoming a "ticking time bomb".

The total death toll in Gaza rose to 8,005 people including 3,324 minors and 20,242 others injured, according to the official spokesperson for the health ministry in Gaza on Sunday.

#SaudiArabia’s PIF open to more joint ventures with foreign partners

Saudi Arabia’s PIF open to more joint ventures with foreign partners

Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is open to entering into more joint ventures with foreign companies looking to invest in the kingdom, an executive from the wealth fund has said.

This week, the PIF and South Korea’s Hyundai agreed to jointly build a car manufacturing plant in Saudi Arabia, with an estimated investment of more than $500 million.

“One of the main advantages of these kinds of joint venture partnerships is to localise the technical know-how, and this is one of the main things that we need to do,” said Abdulmajeed Alhagbani, head of Mena securities investments at the PIF.

“[South] Korea is … a major G20 country and, going forward, we are open to having this kind of exchange with all the countries,” he told The National on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh.

Saturday 28 October 2023

#UAE poised to come off financial crime ‘grey list’

UAE poised to come off financial crime ‘grey list’

The United Arab Emirates is poised to be removed from the global financial crime watchdog’s “grey list” after making progress on compliance measures to combat money laundering while Panama has gone one step further and been dropped from the index. 

The Paris-based Financial Action Task Force said on Friday that the UAE, the Gulf’s leading financial hub, had “substantially” introduced compliance measures needed for its removal from the multilateral body’s list of countries under enhanced monitoring. 

Faft said the UAE had made progress in areas such as facilitating money-laundering investigations, imposing sanctions on non-compliance at financial institutions, and increasing prosecutions. The task force said it would therefore conduct on-site visits to verify that these changes would be sustained. 

A successful inspection would provide a signal that the UAE, along with other jurisdictions such as Barbados, Gibraltar and Uganda, could be removed from the list at an upcoming plenary session in February. 

On Friday Panama became one of several jurisdictions, including Albania, Jordan and the Cayman Islands, a British Overseas Territory, to be removed from the grey list altogether after their on-site visits proved successful. 

This was good news for Panama’s beleaguered government, which has been trying to change its reputation as a haven for shady money by touting its green credentials similar to neighbouring Costa Rica.

Friday 27 October 2023

#Saudi deadline on regional HQs has foreign firms scrambling -sources  | Reuters

Saudi deadline on regional HQs has foreign firms scrambling -sources  | Reuters

Foreign companies are scrambling to meet a Saudi deadline to locate their regional headquarters in the kingdom by January amid a lack of clarity over regulation, tax and potential incentives to encourage the move, executives told Reuters.

Firms risk losing hundreds of billions of dollars in government contracts in Saudi Arabia if their regional headquarters are based elsewhere.

The ultimatum, part of efforts by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to wean the economy off oil by creating new industries that also generate jobs for Saudis, has put the kingdom in competition with regional business hub, the United Arab Emirates.

Senior executives involved in the discussions said some companies have complained the government still needs to clarify key regulations on the programme, including taxation and whether they could have a second regional headquarters in Middle Eastern countries outside of the Gulf.

"Businesses do not like uncertainty and ambiguity, and there is plenty of that at the moment," said a Western executive, seeking anonymity because the preparations are private.

#UAE shares mixed amid Mideast concerns, U.S. inflation data on tap | Reuters

UAE shares mixed amid Mideast concerns, U.S. inflation data on tap | Reuters


UAE equity indexes were mixed in a volatile market on Friday, as investors remained cautious amid tehescalating conflict in the region and ahead of key U.S. inflation data, while oil prices ticked higher.

Economists expect a report on Friday to show U.S. core personal consumption expenditure, the Federal Reserve's favoured inflation measure, declined to 3.7% in September from 3.9% a month earlier.

Abu Dhabi's index (.FTFADGI) eased 0.1%, dragged down by a 2.5% decline in the country's largest lender, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB.AD). The index posted a 0.8% weekly decline.

Among other stocks, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (ADIB.AD) and developer Aldar Properties (ALDAR.AD) fell 1.4% and 0.4%, respectively.

Abu Dhabi's stock market rebounded slightly today after a difficult week. However, the market remained below its lows for the year and could continue to be impacted by the geopolitical tensions in the region, added Negm.

In Dubai, the main share index (.DFMGI), however, edged up 0.1%, led by a 2.8% rise in Emirates NBD Bank (ENBD.DU), Dubai's biggest lender by assets. The index was up 0.9% on a weekly basis.

The lender on Thursday reported a 38% year-on-year jump in its third-quarter net profit.

Dubai market could remain exposed to the changing situation in the region, and the strength of the local economy could help maintain the market's attractiveness and draw investors when tensions abate, said Ahmed Negm, Head of Market Research MENA at XS.com.

#SaudiArabia Seeks Trade Deals, Mulls BRICS Offer to Lift Exports - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia Seeks Trade Deals, Mulls BRICS Offer to Lift Exports - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia is looking to sign more free trade agreements and still considering joining the BRICS club of emerging nations, as it looks to boost non-oil exports, according to the kingdom’s minister of economy and planning.

Authorities are exploring exploring trade deals with an “ambitious” list of countries, Faisal Al Ibrahim said in an interview, declining to name them. The government also wants to renegotiate some existing pacts to “unlock some challenges,” he said.

“Exports are growing, but not as much as we want them in terms of non-oil exports,” Al Ibrahim said. “We want them to grow faster.”

Saudi Arabia is lining up more free trade deals as it pursues a plan to diversify the $1.1 trillion economy to reduce its dependence on oil. It’s plowing billions of dollars into an attempt to become a global supply chain hub and creating new industries like electric vehicles and pharmaceuticals to meet local demand and for export to the Middle East and Africa.

The trade talks, which would be negotiated through the Gulf Cooperation Council bloc of six Middle East countries, aim to give the kingdom “access to export markets more easily, but also give us access to a secure supply of the imports needed for the manufacturing and the value-adding process that will happen in Saudi Arabia,” Al Ibrahim said.

Thursday 26 October 2023

#Kuwait's KIPIC in talks with potential partners on petrochemicals complex | Reuters

Kuwait's KIPIC in talks with potential partners on petrochemicals complex | Reuters

State-owned Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (KIPIC) is in early talks with companies to partner on an integrated petrochemicals complex worth up to 3 billion dinars ($9.70 billion), its CEO said.

The company also aims to raise capacity at its Al-Zour refinery by 20-30% above the maximum 615,000 barrels per day it expects to reach this month, Walid Al-Badr told Reuters.

Initial discussions have begun with three potential partners, two from Asia and one from Europe, to build an integrated petrochemical complex alongside the Al-Zour plant, Al-Badr said.

"We are still in the initial stages. Memorandums of understanding have not been signed yet, but they expressed their interest and there were official meetings," Al-Badr said, without naming the firms.

The petrochemical complex, which aims to export to Europe and to boost Al-Zour's profitability, will use about 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) of fuel oil. If a deal is reached, it aims for the plant to go into operation by 2030.

Most Gulf markets retreat on Mideast woes, interest rate fears | Reuters

Most Gulf markets retreat on Mideast woes, interest rate fears | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended lower on Thursday, as sentiment remained sour on concerns about widening conflict in the region, while fears that U.S. interest rates will stay high added to the angst.

Israel said its ground forces had pushed into Gaza overnight to attack Hamas targets as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it was "preparing for a ground invasion" that could be one of several.

At least 7,028 Palestinians, including 2,913 children, have been killed in Israeli strikes since Oct. 7, the health ministry in Hamas-controlled Gaza said on Thursday.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) closed 0.9% lower, with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) (1211.SE) retreating 3.5%.

Ma'aden is working to extract lithium from sea water, its chief executive Robert Wilt said on Wednesday, as competition for the rare metal rages between the U.S. and China.

The Saudi index posted a weekly decline of 2.3%.

The Saudi bourse recorded a volatile week as traders reacted to geopolitical developments, company earnings, and the volatility in oil prices, said Daniel Takieddine, CEO MENA at BDSwiss.

"The main index could face risks of additional price corrections after its rebound during the last few days."

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) declined 1.5%, dragged down by a 3.3% fall in top lender Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU).

The bank reported a higher third-quarter net profit, but saw a decrease sequentially in earnings.

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) lost 0.9%.

Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - fell after a rise in U.S. crude stockpiles and a climb in the dollar index.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) slid 1.7%, hitting its lowest in over three years, as most of its constituents were in negative territory.

Yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasury notes rose and the U.S. dollar strengthened to a one-week high, as underwhelming corporate results in the U.S. raised concerns over the economic strength of the world's largest economy.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) added 0.6%.

#UAE’s IHC signals interest in Zambian copper mine

UAE’s IHC signals interest in Zambian copper mine

Abu Dhabi’s International Holding Company has expressed interest in taking over a key Zambian copper mine that is up for sale, according to four people familiar with the matter. 

The approach by the United Arab Emirates’ largest listed company comes as South African miner Sibanye-Stillwater is vying to take on Mopani Copper Mines, a prized but struggling state-owned asset in Africa’s second-biggest producing country, these people added. 

Mopani produces the metal used in power lines, electric cars and renewable power. Two Chinese groups, Zijin Mining and Norinco, a defence company, which were initially part of the auction process for the mine, have dropped out, three of the people said. 

Zijin’s departure was due to delays on the Zambian side of the process, while Norinco has had sanctions imposed on it by the US government, one of the people added. 

The sale of the mine also comes amid heightening geopolitical tensions between China and the US, which is stepping up its efforts to secure strategic minerals such as copper, cobalt and graphite. In particular, Washington is placing a growing emphasis on preventing Chinese companies from tying up important supply sources in Africa.

Europe Can See a World Flush with LNG From the US, #Qatar - Bloomberg

Europe Can See a World Flush with LNG From the US, Qatar - Bloomberg

For the second straight winter, Europe’s energy strategy is based largely on hopes for mild weather and reduced industrial demand, with gas prices still hovering at about 50 euros ($53) per megawatt-hour, more than double the average in the decade before Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

But it’s not too soon to begin imagining — and planning for — a less desperate future: instead of a world of scarcity, one of abundant liquefied natural gas supplies provided by the US and Qatar.

For that, however, things must go as exactly as planned. And after two years of rolling crisis, the wording “as planned” carries a lot of weight. There’s hope, but, for at least the next year and a half, it’s just that: hope.

“Starting in 2025, an unprecedented surge in new LNG projects is set to tip the balance of markets and concerns about natural gas supply,” the International Energy Agency said this week, echoing a view that’s gaining traction in the market. “A wave of new LNG export projects is set to remodel gas markets.” Fatih Birol, the head of the agency, went even further: “The gas market will move into the direction of buyer’s market.”

Unlike gas pipelines, which physically connect buyers and sellers, LNG export terminals super-cool gas into a liquid form, before loading it onto massive ships. Each terminal takes years to build and costs several billion dollars. At the other end of the chain, an LNG regasification terminal is needed before the commodity is shipped via domestic pipeline to the final customer.

LNG is critical to balance the European gas market since buying Russian gas via pipeline, which before the invasion of Ukraine accounted for more than a third of the continent’s imports, is out of the question. Other pipelines, from the likes of Norway and Algeria, are already maxed out. Anders Opedal, the boss of Norway’s Equinor ASA, put it succinctly at a recent energy conference: Everyone is trying to boost production, but, ultimately, “Europe will depend on LNG supply.”

Watch FII's Role in Transforming #Saudi Economy - Bloomberg video

Watch FII's Role in Transforming Saudi Economy - Bloomberg



Bernard Haykel, Princeton University Professor of Near Eastern Studies discusses FII, the "Davos in the desert" and Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 plan. He speaks with David Westin on "Wall Street Week Daily." (Source: Bloomberg)

#UAE’s Masdar Boosts Caspian Renewable Deals With Azeri Pact - Bloomberg

UAE’s Masdar Boosts Caspian Renewable Deals With Azeri Pact - Bloomberg

The United Arab Emirates is expanding renewable energy production in the Caspian and Central Asian regions as the country’s biggest clean-power producer moves ahead with plans to generate as much as 10 gigawatts of electricity from sources including solar and wind plants in Azerbaijan.

Masdar, owned by the Abu Dhabi government, signed agreements to build 1 GW of power capacity at two solar plants and one onshore wind project, the company said in a statement. The projects would be the first step in moving ahead with a broader plan signed in June 2022 to develop green energy in the country.

The company also inaugurated the 230 megawatt Garadagh Solar Park in Azerbaijan which will generate half a billion kilowatt-hours of electricity each year, enough to power more than 110,000 homes, Masdar said.

“This is the first large-scale, utility size solar PV project in Azerbaijan,” according to Maryam Al Mazrouei, Masdar’s senior manager for development in the region. The Garadagh project, Masdar’s first in the country, will supply power domestically in Azerbaijan over the next two decades, she said in an interview.

The state-run renewable energy producer has projects around the world, including plants and plans for facilities in the Caspian and Central Asia regions such as in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.

Podcast: Saudi Arabia’s ‘New Middle East’ Has a Problem: The Old One - Bloomberg

Podcast: Saudi Arabia’s ‘New Middle East’ Has a Problem: The Old One - Bloomberg


In the seven years that Saudi Arabia has hosted its flagship investment conference, dubbed “Davos in the Desert,” Prince Mohammed bin Salman has expended energy on lowering the geopolitical temperature in the region. He’s resolved disputes with Qatar, minimized tensions with Iran, rowed back on his invasion of Yemen—all to focus on his primary goal: economic growth and economic diversification.

His driving hope, explains Saudi bureau chief Matthew Martin, is that the more prosperous Saudi Arabia and the region become, the more likely political feuds that have long plagued the region will “melt into the distance.” But the war between Israel and Hamas, Martin says, has shown that deep fissures in the region remain, and that “this dream of putting prosperity ahead of political rights is a very difficult one to achieve.”

Martin joins this week’s episode of In the City and host Francine Lacqua, on location at the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh, along with hosts David Merritt and Allegra Stratton in London. They discuss what’s happening at the event, especially among financial titans in attendance such as BlackRock’s Larry Fink, Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio and JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon. They also analyze the struggle to get investment into Saudi’s diversification agenda, and whether normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel is just paused—or off the table entirely.

#Dubai's Emirates NBD third quarter profit rises 38% | Reuters

Dubai's Emirates NBD third quarter profit rises 38% | Reuters

Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU), Dubai's biggest lender by assets, said on Thursday its third-quarter net profit rose 38% year-on-year, partly due to loan growth and steady low-cost funding that allowed the bank to benefit from higher interest rates.

Profit for the quarter was 5.2 billion dirhams ($1.42 billion), roughly in line with analysts' median estimate of 5.18 billion dirhams, according to LSEG data.

The bank, majority owned by the government of Dubai, reported a 29% rise in net interest income to 7.8 billion dirhams, while non-funded income rose 49% to 3.6 billion dirhams.

At the end of September, total assets were up 16% year-on-year to 836 billion dirhams, gross loans were up 8% to 494 billion and deposits were 19% higher at 570 billion.

Its non-performing loans ratio dipped to 5.5% from 5.8% a year earlier. Impairment allowances dropped 54% "as credit quality improved, reflecting the group's prudent approach to credit provisions", it said in its statement.

Hesham Abdulla Al Qassim, vice chairman and managing director, said lending to small and medium businesses rose 34% in the United Arab Emirates, "supporting this important sector and bedrock of the economy".

Major Gulf markets fall on Mideast war, interest rate worries | Reuters

Major Gulf markets fall on Mideast war, interest rate worries | Reuters

Major Gulf stock markets fell in early trade on Thursday as the Middle East conflict continued to weigh on sentiment, while fears that U.S. interest rates will stay high added to the angst.

Israel bombarded the Gaza Strip as it prepared for a ground invasion it says is aimed at annihilating the Palestinian militant group Hamas as Russia warned the conflict could spread beyond the Middle East.

At least 6,546 Palestinians, including 2,704 children were killed, and 17,439 wounded in Israeli strikes since Oct. 7, the health ministry in Hamas-controlled Gaza said on Wednesday.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) dropped 0.7%, hurt by a 0.5% fall in Saudi Aramco (2222.SE) and a 2.6% decline in Saudi Arabian Mining Co (Ma'aden) (1211.SE).

Ma'aden is working to extract lithium from seawater, CEO Robert Wilt said on Wednesday, as competition for the rare metal rages between the U.S. and China.

Meanwhile, Arabian Contracting Services (4071.SE) advanced more than 5% after signing a 10-year contract to establish, operate and maintain outdoor advertising billboards.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) slid 1.1%, weighed down by a 3% decline in top lender Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU).

The bank reported a higher third-quarter net profit, but forecast a sequential decrease in earnings.

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) lost 0.6%.

Yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasury notes rose and the U.S. dollar strengthened to a one-week high, as underwhelming corporate results in the U.S. raised concerns over the economic strength of the world's largest economy.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) fell 0.4%, with Qatar National Bank (QNBK.QA), the Gulf's biggest lender, losing 1.1%.

Mannai Corporation (MCCS.QA), which is not part of the index, fell as much as 7.6% after reporting a steep decline in nine-month net profit.

Wednesday 25 October 2023

Brookfield and #Qatar Invest £400 Million in Canary Wharf Group - Bloomberg

Brookfield and Qatar Invest £400 Million in Canary Wharf Group - Bloomberg

Canary Wharf Group, the developer of London’s dockland financial district, has received a fresh equity injection from its shareholders, as the area contends with high profile departures and a shift to working from home.

Brookfield and the Qatar Investment Authority have committed to a £300 million ($364 million) equity injection for the firm as well as a £100 million revolving credit facility, according to a press release from the firm on Wednesday.

Canary Wharf Group has a £350 million bond due in 2025, which has been trading at a discount since last year. The bond was changing hands for 89.1 pence on the pound at 1:43pm London time, after rising as much as 5.3 pence following the announcement.

“The proceeds will be used to complete the strategic repositioning of Canary Wharf and build out additional residential and life sciences projects on the estate,” the release said.

Canary Wharf has struggled since the pandemic led to a shift to flexible working, bringing in fewer workers to populate the desks of the large office blocks that dominate its skyline. HSBC, Europe’s largest bank, said it would quit its skyscraper in the district for a new location in central London, following a similar move by law firm Clifford Chance. For decades dominated by financial services firms, the area is intent on drawing in more residential and life-sciences tenants.

Gemcorp Sets Up $1 Billion Fund to Tap #SaudiArabia Projects - Bloomberg

Gemcorp Sets Up $1 Billion Fund to Tap Saudi Arabia Projects - Bloomberg

The emerging markets-focused asset management firm Gemcorp Capital LLP is setting up a $1 billion fund to bring foreign investment into some of Saudi Arabia’s most ambitious projects.

The fund will target investments in projects which are aligned with Vision 2030, Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman’s plan to transform the Saudi economy away from reliance on oil, the company said in a statement on Wednesday.

The partnership between Gemcorp and the kingdom’s Ministry of Investment, will offer investment products including credit, equity and hybrid debt. Gemcorp will provide seed financing for the fund, while the ministry will allow access to potential opportunities.

Gemcorp’s announcement came on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative, an annual gathering of the world’s finance elite in Riyadh. Saudi Arabia is seeking to reassure investors that the kingdom remains an attractive investment destination despite the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas.

Hitting targets for attracting foreign direct investment as part of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s plans to overhaul the Saudi economy has been a challenge. That plan envisages lifting foreign investment to 5.7% of economic output.

Yet most of the $19.3 billion foreign investment in 2021 — the most since 2010 — came from state oil company Saudi Aramco selling part of its pipeline unit, rather than going into new industries.

“Saudi Arabia has recently become very attractive to global investors, and this fund will provide further investment support for key sectors such as energy, infrastructure, and mining and minerals,” Khalid Al-Falih, Saudi Arabia’s minister of investment said in the statement.

Indian conglomerate Essar plans regional hub in #SaudiArabia | Reuters

Indian conglomerate Essar plans regional hub in Saudi Arabia | Reuters

Indian conglomerate Essar Group plans to make Saudi Arabia a hub to drive its expansion locally and regionally, its chief executive Prashant Ruia said on Wednesday.

The group, built by brothers Shashi and Ravi Ruia, is setting up a 4 million metric tonnes per year steel plant along with port facilities at Ras Al-Khair in Saudi Arabia, benefiting from the Kingdom’s aim to become an electric vehicle manufacturing centre.

"Automotive will be large," Prashant Ruia told Reuters in an interview at the Future Investment Initiative (FII) conference in the Saudi capital. The group plans to open an office in Riyadh, he added.

"When you see the Vision 2030 and all of the projects which are currently being envisaged, it’s a big, big growth, which we see (boosting) demand for steel and we want to play a role."

Prashant is part of the second generation of the Ruia family that founded Essar.

Most Gulf markets gain amid easing Mideast woes | Reuters

Most Gulf markets gain amid easing Mideast woes | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on Wednesday, recovering from their recent losses, as diplomatic efforts continue to limit widening of the war in the region, although concerns remain.

The United Nations, United States and Canada appealed on Tuesday for a humanitarian pause in the Israel-Hamas war to allow safe deliveries of aid to civilians short of food, water, medicine and electricity in the Israeli-besieged Gaza Strip.

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan on Wednesday urged an immediate ceasefire between Israeli and Palestinian forces and said Muslim countries must act together for lasting peace, calling on world powers to pressure Israel to halt attacks.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 1.2%, with Alinma Bank (1150.SE) climbing 3.1%, after reporting a sharp rise in quarterly profit.

The kingdom's non-oil gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by around 6% this year, the kingdom's finance minister said, adding he expected it would continue to be healthy.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) advanced 2.7%, extending gains from the previous session when it snapped eight sessions of losses, buoyed by a 4.2% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU).

The Dubai bourse recorded improvements compared to the last few days as diplomatic efforts helped calm investors' concerns, said Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB MENA.

"The strong local economy and large decline in prices could draw traders if conditions continue to improve in the region."

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) gained 0.6%.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI), however, fell 0.2%, with petrochemical maker Industries Qatar (IQCD.QA) losing 2.3%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) jumped 3.3%, finishing at its highest, as most of its constituents were in positive territory including Talaat Mostafa (TMGH.CA), which closed 2% higher.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said on Wednesday his country was playing a "very positive role" trying to de-escalate and find a diplomatic solution to the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Aramco Plans to Produce Synthetic Fuels by 2025 at Test Plants - Bloomberg

Aramco Plans to Produce Synthetic Fuels by 2025 at Test Plants - Bloomberg

Saudi Aramco aims to start operating by 2025 two demonstration plants to produce synthetic fuels that emit less carbon dioxide when burned.

The world’s biggest crude oil exporter will produce test quantities of synthetic gasoline and jet fuel and seeks to find regular buyers once they’ve tested the product, according to Ahmad Al Khowaiter, Aramco’s head of technology and innovation. If buyers accept the fuels, Aramco would build commercial-scale synthetic fuels refineries, he said in an interview at the kingdom’s main investment conference in Riyadh.

Al Khowaiter said Aramco will invest several hundred million dollars in the gasoline plant and in a synthetic jet fuel facility being developed together with Repsol SA of Spain. He didn’t give a time frame for when Aramco might decide to build the commercial scale facilities.

Aramco this week announced plans to build a test plant for synthetic gasoline in Saudi Arabia’s planned Neom city on the Red Sea. The company will produce the synthetic gasoline by combining methanol extracted from green hydrogen with carbon dioxide and then converting that into road fuel. The test facility will produce 35 barrels a day of gasoline that creates 70% fewer emissions than current fuels, and a commercial scale refinery could produce 35,000 barrels, Al Khowaiter said.

Government support for consumers using such technologies is needed to make them commercially viable, Al Khowaiter said.

The state producer is already one of the world’s largest refiners, with stakes in crude-processing plants from the US Gulf coast to China and at home. Aramco plans to double the gross amount of refining capacity in which it holds ownership stakes this decade to about 10 million barrels a day, with capacity from the projected synthetic fuels operation being only a small fraction of that.

Al Khowaiter said Aramco plans to capture 9 million tons of carbon emissions by 2030 and go beyond that in the future.

UBS Hands Qatari Sheikh $9 Billion Credit Line in Mideast Push - Bloomberg

UBS Hands Qatari Sheikh $9 Billion Credit Line in Mideast Push - Bloomberg


UBS Group AG is extending a $9 billion credit line to one of the Middle East’s most influential investors as Chief Executive Officer Sergio Ermotti seeks to retain the region’s ultra wealthy following the takeover of Credit Suisse, people with knowledge of the matter said.

The Swiss lender recently agreed to provide the financing to former Qatari prime minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani, the people said, asking not to be named discussing private details. The credit facility is at least 50% more than the total of existing lines from UBS and Credit Suisse that it replaces.

UBS declined to comment on the matter. A representative for Sheikh Hamad didn’t respond to a request for comment.

The need to keep Sheikh Hamad on-side underlines UBS’s bid to secure its presence as a manager of wealth for oil-rich royalty and tycoons in the Middle East following the demise of Credit Suisse, which had a significant business in the region. The Gulf countries hold some of the largest wealth concentrations in the world.

HBJ, as the sheikh is known, previously ran the gas-rich country’s sovereign wealth fund. During his tenure at the Qatar Investment Authority it built stakes in commodities trader Glencore Plc, British lender Barclays Plc and luxury department store Harrods. The fund also became one of Credit Suisse’s largest shareholders.

#SaudiArabia's Ma'aden working to extract lithium from seawater | Reuters

Saudi Arabia's Ma'aden working to extract lithium from seawater | Reuters

Saudi Arabia’s flagship mining company Ma'aden is working to extract lithium from seawater, its chief executive Robert Wilt said on Wednesday, as competition for the rare metal rages between the U.S. and China.

Wilt said Ma'aden, the Gulf's largest miner, is trying to stay above the fray and was "doing what’s best for the kingdom".

"We are working on an initiative to extract lithium from seawater as well as some other things; I would say nothing is of scale, we are still at pilot phase currently," Wilt told Reuters in an interview.

Lithium is a key mineral used for electric car batteries, laptops and smartphones.

Ma’aden is 67% owned by the Public Investment Fund (PIF), the kingdom's sovereign wealth fund, and recently launched Manara Minerals, a joint venture with the PIF, to invest in mining assets abroad.

"We have de-risked our portfolio in terms of broadening exploration and working external to the kingdom to make sure we are resilient no matter what happens geopolitically," Wilt said.

Major Gulf markets track Asian shares higher as strong earnings support | Reuters

Major Gulf markets track Asian shares higher as strong earnings support | Reuters

Major stock markets in the Gulf rose on Wednesday, tracking Asian shares higher, as upbeat corporate earnings lifted risk sentiment, although the widening conflict in the Middle East limited gains in the benchmark indexes.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS), which hit its lowest since last November on Tuesday, rose 0.6% as investors cheered China's decision to approve a trillion-yuan sovereign issue as a harbinger of stimulus.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 0.3%, helped by a 2.2% rise in car rental firm Lumi Rental Co (4262.SE), while Alinma Bank (1150.SE) advanced 3% following an upbeat third-quarter profit.

The kingdom's non-oil gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by around 6% this year, the kingdom's finance minister said, adding he expected it would continue to be healthy.

However, oil giant Saudi Aramco (2222.SE) fell 0.5%.

Prices of oil, which fuels the Gulf economy, fell for a fourth day as concerns about slowing European demand offset worries about Middle East supply disruptions stemming from the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza.

Dubai's main share index (.TASI) gained 1.2%, buoyed by a 2.6% rise in Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWAA.DU) and a 1.9% increase in sharia-compliant lender Dubai Islamic Bank (DISB.DU).

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI) added 0.3%.

Israel's military intensified its bombing of southern Gaza overnight as world leaders called for a halt to fighting to allow aid into the besieged enclave.

In a statement released on social media, the Palestinian health ministry in Hamas-ruled Gaza said at least 5,791 Palestinians had been killed by Israeli bombardments on the enclave since Oct. 7, including 2,360 children.

The Qatari index (.QSI) was up 0.3%, supported by a nearly 1% gain in Qatar Islamic Bank (QISB.QA) and a 2% increase in Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIB.QA) after the lender reported higher quarterly profit.

Tuesday 24 October 2023

Andurand: Crude Oil Needs to Hit $110 Before #SaudiArabia Eases Supply - Bloomberg

Andurand: Crude Oil Needs to Hit $110 Before Saudi Arabia Eases Supply - Bloomberg

Oil trader Pierre Andurand said he expects Saudi Arabia to keep its current supply curbs in place until prices reach at least $110 a barrel.

As inventories decline in the coming months, “the market will have to beg for more supply at some point,” the founder of Andurand Capital Management LLP said during a question-and-answer session at Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh.

“The Saudis will have to decide when and at what price to bring supply back,” he added. “For me, an adjustment likely will come around $110 a barrel. So there’s room to the upside for prices.”

Since July, Saudi Arabia has pledged to implement a unilateral production cut of 1 million barrels a day on top of existing curbs. The kingdom earlier this month said it would keep the curbs in place until the end of the year.

Andurand said Saudi policy remains the deciding factor for crude prices. Global benchmark Brent oil is back below $90, even as the Israel-Hamas war threatens greater conflict in the Middle East. It’s “not impossible” that there will be direct confrontation with Iran that may change the landscape, he said.

Andurand sees oil demand reaching a high later this decade, then trailing off. On the topic of metals, he warned of trouble for copper markets, as mining supply is expected to peak while demand accelerates due to the energy transition.

Brookfield Explores Raising Funds for Middle East Deals - Bloomberg

Brookfield Explores Raising Funds for Middle East Deals - Bloomberg

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. is exploring raising separate pools of capital to invest in the Middle East, as one of this year’s most active dealmakers seeks to bolster its presence in the region, people familiar with the matter said.

The Canadian firm, which currently invests in the region through its global funds, is studying options to raise dedicated money for Gulf deals, the people said, asking not to be identified as the matter is private. It’s seeking capital for both private equity buyouts as well as real estate transactions, according to the people.

Brookfield may look at buyouts in sectors including business services, financial infrastructure and health care, while in real estate it’s keen to invest in areas like logistics firms and industrial parks in Saudi Arabia, the people said. Deliberations are in the early stages, and it wasn’t immediately clear how much Brookfield is planning to raise.

A representative for Brookfield declined to comment.

#Saudi Arabian Milling Firm MC4 Plans IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabian Milling Firm MC4 Plans IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia’s Milling Company 4 is planning a domestic initial public offering that could raise more than $200 million, according to people familiar with the matter.

The firm is working with Himmah Capital on the potential listing which could come as early as next year, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information isn’t public.

Details of the offering such as size and timeline are still preliminary and subject to change, the people added. Representatives for Himmah Capital and MC4 declined to comment.

In recent years, Saudi Arabia split the government-controlled flour milling industry into four companies and sold them to the private sector. MC4 was sold to a group including Allana International, Abdullah Al Othaim Markets, and United Feed Manufacturing Co. for 859 million riyals ($229 million) in 2021.

First Milling Co. was the first of the flour milling companies to go public in an IPO that raised $266 million in May. Its shares have risen about 9% since then.

A deepening crisis in the Middle East as the Israel-Hamas war intensifies has put investors on edge and risks clouding a recent resurgence of IPOs in the kingdom. Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index has fallen about 7% since late September, almost erasing the year’s gains. Oil hit $90 a barrel amid growing fears that the conflict could spread across the Middle East.

#Russia strikes deal with #Dubai's DP World to develop Arctic sea route | Reuters

Russia strikes deal with Dubai's DP World to develop Arctic sea route | Reuters

Russian nuclear agency Rosatom said on Tuesday it has set up a joint venture with Dubai's DP World to develop container shipping through the Arctic as part of an initiative heavily promoted by President Vladimir Putin.

The deal with one of the world's top port operators is the most tangible sign yet of Moscow's ability to attract big international partners to help it realise its ambitious plans for what it calls the Northern Sea Route.

Putin has talked up prospects for the Arctic corridor, including in a speech at China's Belt and Road forum last week, as Russia shifts its trade eastwards in response to Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine.

The route, made viable by the melting of Arctic sea ice due to climate change, runs from Murmansk near Russia's border with Norway to the Bering Strait near Alaska.

"As for the Northern Sea Route, Russia is not just inviting its partners to actively use its transit potential. I will say more: we invite interested states to directly participate in its development," Putin said in Beijing last week.

Gulf bourses mixed ahead of US economic data amid Mideast woes | Reuters

Gulf bourses mixed ahead of US economic data amid Mideast woes | Reuters



Stock markets in the Gulf ended mixed on Tuesday ahead of U.S. economic data expected to offer clues to the next steps by the Federal Reserve, while widening conflict in the region weighed on sentiments.

The U.S. Commerce Department will announce third-quarter gross domestic product on Thursday, while the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the U.S. central bank's preferred inflation gauge, is due on Friday.

Monetary policy in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council is usually guided by Fed policy decisions because most regional currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) gained 0.8%, snapping four sessions of losses, led by a 2.7% rise in Lumi Rental Co (4262.SE) and a 4.4% jump in Alinma Bank (1150.SE).

Post trading hours, the lender reported a quarterly net profit of 1.32 billion riyals ($351.89 million), up from 989 million riyals year ago.

Separately, the kingdom's Tourism Minister Ahmed Al Khateeb said on Tuesday the kingdom could record almost 100 million tourist visits this year, with tourism contributing around 6% of gross domestic product.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) added 0.3%, helped by a 1.8% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU).

Oil - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - recovered some of the previous day's losses as markets worried that the Israel-Hamas war could escalate into a wider conflict in the crude-exporting region.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) declined 2.3%, hitting its lowest in over three years, as almost all its constituents were in negative territory including Qatar Islamic Bank (QISB.QA), which was down 3.9%.

Among other losers, petrochemical firm Mesaieed Petrochemical Holding Co (MPHC.QA) tumbled 5.8%, following a steep fall in nine-month net profit.

Israel said on Tuesday it had killed dozens of Hamas fighters overnight in strikes on Gaza but that its war to destroy them, which involves bombarding and blockading the Palestinian enclave, would take time.

Gaza's health ministry said at least 5,791 Palestinians have been killed in the strikes on the Hamas-ruled enclave since Oct. 7, including 2,360 children. A total of 704 were killed in the previous 24 hours alone, it said.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30) dropped 0.8%, with tobacco monopoly Eastern Co (EAST.CA) retreating 11%.

Goldman, Citigroup Said to Drop Off Investcorp Capital’s IPO - Bloomberg

Goldman, Citigroup Said to Drop Off Investcorp Capital’s IPO - Bloomberg

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. have dropped off the planned Abu Dhabi initial public offering of an investment vehicle backed by Investcorp, the Middle East’s biggest alternative asset manager, according to people familiar with the matter.

The two US banks couldn’t get internal approval for the IPO’s price stabilization mechanism, which has never been attempted before in a United Arab Emirates listing, the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is private.

The Abu Dhabi bourse had requested that the IPO have a price stabilization mechanism once the stock start trading, but none of the lead banks on the deal wanted to take on the role as it’s a gray area under UAE law, the people said. Q Market Makers LLC, which is backed by Abu Dhabi wealth fund ADQ, was eventually brought on to be the stabilization agent, the people said.

Investcorp announced the planned IPO of Investcorp Capital Plc on Tuesday. Investcorp Capital operates in the alternative investments space, providing investors with access to a global portfolio of private market opportunities, with investments in private equity, real estate, credit and general partner positions in North America, Europe, the Middle East and Asia.

Investcorp Capital and Investcorp will appoint the stabilization manager who will support the price of the shares once they start trading for the stabilization period. The statement didn’t name the stabilization manager or how long the period lasts.