Tuesday 31 October 2023

Mideast Stocks: Most Gulf markets gain on upbeat earnings, ahead of US Fed meeting

Mideast Stocks: Most Gulf markets gain on upbeat earnings, ahead of US Fed meeting


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on Tuesday on upbeat corporate earnings as investors awaited interest rate decisions by U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. The Fed is expected to leave policy rates on hold at the end of its two-day meeting that starts on Tuesday. Market participants will focus on the message from policymakers to gauge the interest rate outlook.

Most Gulf Cooperation Council countries, including the UAE, have their currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar and follow the Fed's policy moves closely, exposing the region to the direct impact of monetary tightening in the world's largest economy.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index advanced 1.5%, buoyed by a 10% surge in Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co following an upbeat quarterly earnings report. The telecoms firm, which recorded its best day since March, reported second-quarter net profit of 47.9 million riyals ($12.77 million), up from 6.6 million riyals year ago.

The Saudi stock market extended its gains and continued to see improving performances in the banking sector and others. Company earnings could continue to affect local sentiment, said George Pavel, general manager at Capex.com Middle East.

"However, the market could be exposed to price corrections if traders move to secure their gains." Elsewhere, oil giant Saudi Aramco rose 1.1%. Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - edged up helped by a drop in euro zone inflation but were pinned below $90 a barrel on weak Chinese economic data and as the conflict in the Middle East remained contained.

Dubai's main share index finished 1% higher, with blue-chip developer Emaar Properties rising 2.9%. 

In Abu Dhabi, the index added 0.6%. 

The Qatari benchmark edged 0.1% higher, helped by a 5.3% jump in Ooredoo, a day after the telecoms firm reported a sharp rise in third-quarter profit.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index declined 3.8%, retreating from a record high, as most of the constituents were in negative territory including Abu Qir Fertilizers.

Growth risks to restrain oil in 2024, but Mideast risks loom large, Reuters poll shows | Reuters

Growth risks to restrain oil in 2024, but Mideast risks loom large, Reuters poll shows | Reuters


Slow global economic growth will keep crude prices anchored below $90 a barrel this year and next, unless the Israel-Hamas conflict draws in more countries in the Middle East and exacerbates supply tightness, a Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

A survey of 40 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $84.80 a barrel this year, and $86.62 in 2024, little changed from estimates of $84.09 and $86.45 projected in September.

The global benchmark Brent crude has averaged around $82.60 a barrel so far this year.

U.S. crude forecasts were also a tad higher at $80.32 a barrel for 2023 and $83.02 next year, from the $79.64 and $82.99 consensus last month.

"The major drivers will continue to be geopolitics and the extent of economic growth," said John Paisie, president of Stratas Advisors.

If the Middle East situation spins out of control, the price of Brent crude will likely test $115 or higher if there is a disruption to oil supply, Paisie added.

Lyten Plans US, Europe Gigafactories to Spread ‘Cleaner’ Battery - Bloomberg

Lyten Plans US, Europe Gigafactories to Spread ‘Cleaner’ Battery - Bloomberg


A US-based lithium-sulfur battery maker plans to set up a gigafactory in both the US and Europe over the coming four or five years as part of a quest to spread a technology it claims is lighter and greener than traditional alternatives.

Based in San Jose, California, Lyten Inc. has raised funding in the US to commercialize lithium-sulfur batteries that have a higher energy density than batteries in current use.

The batteries, based on technology dubbed 3D Graphene, meet or exceed batteries in current use in all key performance metrics including lifespan and are easier to recycle, Chairman and Co-Founder Lars Herlitz said in an interview last week on the sidelines of a conference in Budapest, Hungary.

The company aims to produce its first commercial battery cells by year-end and deliver them in early 2024.

The company, whose partners include automotive giant Stellantis NV, is setting up a European headquarters in Luxembourg, and is in “advanced” research and development talks there, Herlitz said.

Herlitz said the gigafactories would be configured to use biogas for production as planned, boosting their sustainability.

Discussions are also ongoing with Hungarian officials about potential cooperation, given the eastern European Union member’s already heavy presence in battery making, he said.

The batteries are currently meant for use in transportation and heavy industry, Herlitz said, adding there’s great investor interest for the technology in the Middle East, not just the US and Europe.

Most major Gulf markets gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Most major Gulf markets gain ahead of US Fed rate meeting | Reuters

Most major stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Tuesday as investors awaited interest rate decisions by U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.

The Fed is expected to leave policy rates on hold at the end of its two-day meeting that starts on Tuesday. Market participants will focus on the message from policymakers to gauge the interest rate outlook.

Most Gulf Cooperation Council countries, including the UAE, have their currencies pegged to the U.S. dollar and follow the Fed's policy moves closely, exposing the region to the direct impact of monetary tightening in the world's largest economy.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI) advanced 1%, buoyed by a 10% surge in Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co (7040.SE) following an upbeat quarterly earnings.

The telecoms firm, which is on track for its best day since Oct. 15, reported second-quarter net profit of 47.9 million riyals ($12.77 million), up from 6.6 million riyals year ago.

Separately, the World Bank said on Monday it expected global oil prices to average $90 a barrel in the fourth quarter and fall to an average of $81 in 2023 as slowing growth eases demand, but warned that an escalation of the latest Middle East conflict could spike prices significantly higher.

Oil prices - a key factor for the Gulf's financial markets, rose in Asian trade after a drop of more than 3% in the previous session, as worries over supply stirred by conflict in the Middle East blunted a dismal showing of China data.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI) gained 0.2%, helped by a 1.2% rise in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU).

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFDGI) added 0.3%.

The Qatari benchmark (.QSI) eased 0.5%, with petrochemical maker Industries Qatar (IQCD.QA) losing 3.5%.

Israeli troops and tanks attacked Gaza's main northern city from the east and west on Monday, three days after it began ground operations in the Palestinian enclave.

At least 8,306 Palestinians have been killed, including 3,457 children, in Israeli strikes on Gaza since Oct. 7, the health ministry in Hamas-controlled Gaza said on Monday.

#SaudiArabia Economy: GDP Fell 4.5% in Third Quarter Amid Oil-Supply Cuts - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia Economy: GDP Fell 4.5% in Third Quarter Amid Oil-Supply Cuts - Bloomberg


Saudi Arabia’s economy suffered its biggest contraction since 2020 during the third quarter, after the kingdom cut oil production to push up prices.

Gross domestic product shrunk 4.5% in the third quarter compared to a year earlier, driven by a 17% drop in the oil economy, according to preliminary data by the General Authority of Statistics. Growth in the non-oil economy also slowed.

That’s the biggest contraction in three years, when the coronavirus pandemic was wreaking havoc across global economies, and the first output drop since the start of 2021.

The world’s biggest crude exporter enacted a unilateral oil production cut in July, putting its output at 9 million barrels a day. The kingdom’s now producing almost 1 million barrels a day below its average for the past decade, and seems likely to remain at current output levels until at least the end of this year.