Thursday, 19 December 2024

Most Gulf shares join global decline as Fed sounds hawkish | Reuters

Most Gulf shares join global decline as Fed sounds hawkish | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf tracked global equities lower on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled a slower pace of rate cuts in the coming year.

Barring Kuwait, all central banks of the Gulf Cooperation Council cut key interest rates on Wednesday, following the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce U.S. rates by a quarter of a percentage point.

The Fed cut interest rates as expected, but Powell's explicit references to the need for caution from here on sent markets into a tailspin.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab slipped 0.6%, pressured by losses in most sectors. Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SE), opens new tab fell 1.6% and Almarai Company (2280.SE), opens new tab lost 2.1%.

Saudi Arabia's largest dairy producer, Almrai, said its board had approved a full-year cash dividend of 1 riyal per share, the same as the previous year.

Savola Group (2050.SE), opens new tab surged 10% in its third session of gain and hit its highest level in more than nine years.

The Kingdom's largest foods producer, Savola, said eligible shareholders will receive Almarai shares on Dec 19, after its shareholders approved Sunday the distribution of its entire 34.52% stake in Almarai, valued at 8.34 billion riyals ($2.22 billion), as in-kind compensation for a capital reduction.

Among other gainers, Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab rose 1.9%.
Saudi Vice Minister of Mining Affairs said on Tuesday that Lithium Infinity, a startup, will lead the lithium extraction project with cooperation from Aramco and Ma'aden.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab fell 0.2%, weighed down by a 1.8% loss in ADNOC Drilling (ADNOCDRILL.AD), opens new tab, while ADNOC Logistics (ADNOCLS.AD), opens new tab was up 1.5% after it said its integrated logistics business segment expanded significantly in 2024, with 20 offshore assets added.

Dubai's benchmark stock index (.DFMGI), opens new tab was up 0.2%, lifted by gains in most sectors. Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab rose 2.4% and Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU), opens new tab gained 2%.

Dubai's largest lender, ENBD, said Wednesday it and Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (ADIB.AD), opens new tab have closed a £140 million club deal for student accommodation in London.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab edged up 0.1% after two straight session of loss, with Commercial International Bank(COMI.CA), opens new tab rising 1.1% and Abu Qir Fertilizer (ABUK.CA), opens new tab gaining 3.1%.

"Market remains under pressure and could see some volatility as investors react to the potential for an increasingly stronger dollar", said Milad Azar, market analyst at XTB MENA.

Italy’s Azimut and China Universal team up on #AbuDhabi #UAE ETF link

Italy’s Azimut and China Universal team up on Abu Dhabi ETF link

Italian asset manager Azimut Group and China Universal Asset Management are teaming up to launch an exchange traded fund that will be listed in Abu Dhabi as well as a second ETF in Shanghai to give Chinese and United Arab Emirates investors access to each other’s equities markets. 

Azimut Group will launch an ETF on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange that will invest in China Universal AM’s existing Shanghai-listed ETF tracking the CSI A500 index, Azimut confirmed. 

In turn, China Universal AM will roll out an ETF to be listed on the Shanghai bourse that will feed into a separate Abu Dhabi-listed ETF that Azimut plans to launch. It will invest in public companies in the pan-Arab region. 

Azimut expects to launch the Arab company-tracking ETF by the third quarter in 2025, based on an index that covers large, liquid stocks, the spokesperson told Ignites Asia. 

The pair of new ETFs will become part of an ETF connect programme between China and the UAE, Azimut said. 

China has stepped up financial co-operation with Middle East nations over the past few years, and has used ETFs as a way to facilitate cross-border capital flows and closer corporate ties, as it seeks to reinforce the message of further opening up its financial sector. 

The Shenzhen Stock Exchange and Dubai Financial Market in August signed a memorandum of understanding to promote cross-border investing in China and the UAE, and explore co-operation in products including ETFs. 

That agreement was followed by the Shanghai stock exchange, which said earlier in December that it had signed an MOU with the Qatar stock exchange to explore potential co-operation in areas such as ETFs, data and index products. 

The first two ETFs listed in China that invest solely in Saudi Arabia’s equities market, launched by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management and China Southern Fund Management, enjoyed strong initial demand when they were listed in July this year. 

They feed into CSOP Asset Management‘s CSOP Saudi Arabia ETF, the first Saudi equities market-focused ETF in the Hong Kong exchange, which was launched last year and attracted US$1bn in initial investment. 

China is rapidly expanding ETF tie-ups with other major financial hubs around Asia. 

The Monetary Authority of Singapore said last month it was in talks with its Chinese counterpart to expand the number of ETFs on a cross-listing scheme linking Singapore and Chinese exchanges 

Announced in late 2021 to connect ETFs in the Singapore and Shenzhen bourses, the cross-listing programme was expanded in 2023 to cover the Shanghai exchange. 

Although only seven ETFs had been launched in the scheme by the end of November, amid difficulties in reaching commercial agreements between fund firms and a weak Chinese market that slowed product pipelines, industry participants expected new product launches to pick up in 2025. 

Russell Wang, head of securitised products for global markets at the Singapore Exchange, said the expectation of further government reforms and a rebound in China’s onshore markets meant ETF issuers were now readying more products for next year.


*Ignites Europe is a news service published by FT Specialist for professionals working in the asset management industry. Trials and subscriptions are available at igniteseurope.com.

Wednesday, 18 December 2024

#Saudi Global Ports Said to Pick Banks for Up to $1 Billion IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Global Ports Said to Pick Banks for Up to $1 Billion IPO - Bloomberg

State-backed Saudi Global Ports Co. has picked banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and HSBC Holdings Plc to help arrange a planned Riyadh initial public offering, according to people familiar with the matter.

The port operator owned by the kingdom’s Public Investment Fund and Singapore’s PSA International Pte could be listed as early as next year, according to the people, who declined to be named discussing confidential information. The deal could raise up to $1 billion, the people said.

No final decisions have been made on the timing and size of the offering. Representatives for Saudi Global Ports, PIF, PSA, Goldman and HSBC declined to comment.

Bloomberg News previously reported that the port operator was among the companies owned by the PIF that was being considered for an IPO. PSA is owned by Singapore’s state investor Temasek Holdings Pte.

The PIF is the main entity tasked with delivering Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman’s multitrillion-dollar Vision 2030 plan, which envisages substantial investments into the kingdom’s transports and logistics industry, among others.

The nearly $1 trillion wealth fund is lining up stake sales in portfolio companies — including medical procurement firm Nupco — to finance the economy’s diversification away from oil. This year, the fund has raised over $13 billion from secondary share sales in Saudi Aramco and Saudi Telecommunications.

Saudi Global Ports was formed in 2012 and operates container terminals in King Abdulaziz Port on the country’s east coast, according to its website. The port is the largest container terminal on the Persian Gulf. It also manages Riyadh Dry Port.

Infinity Power: Masdar-Backed Renewable Energy Developer Mulling #AbuDhabi #UAE IPO - Bloomberg

Infinity Power: Masdar-Backed Renewable Energy Developer Mulling Abu Dhabi IPO - Bloomberg

Infinity Power, a renewable energy developer partly owned by Masdar, is considering selling its shares on the Abu Dhabi stock exchange within the next two or three years, according to its chairman.

The Africa-focused firm’s timeline for listing will depend on market conditions, Mohamed Ismail Mansour said in an interview on Tuesday. Infinity Power, in which United Arab Emirates-based Masdar has a 49% stake, is also considering listing on exchanges in Dubai, Johannesburg, London, and Cairo.

The Middle East has become a global hotspot for initial public offerings, raising more than $12 billion this year. The UAE continues to lead the region in terms of listing volumes despite increased activity in Saudi Arabia and Oman.

“If we’re going to list today, our preference would be Abu Dhabi,” Mansour said. “Maybe that changes in a year or two. It depends on how the markets evolve.”

The company would probably list 20-30% of its shares initially and is also looking “very seriously” at issuing green bonds, he said. Infinity Power is working on getting a credit rating and hopes to issue a bond by the beginning of 2026, he added.

Gulf equities end mixed; Fed rate outlook in focus | Reuters

Gulf equities end mixed; Fed rate outlook in focus | Reuters


Gulf shares were mixed on Wednesday as investors exercised caution ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's last policy announcement of the year after economic data indicated consumer spending remained solid.

The U.S. central bank is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis-point interest rate cut at the end of its meeting later in the day, but the focus will be on how much further Fed officials think they will reduce rates in 2025.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the dirham, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Shares in Dubai (.DFMGI), opens new tab slipped 0.8% after the benchmark stock index hit its highest in more than a decade for two straight sessions. Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU), opens new tab, Dubai's largest lender, dropped 4.5% and Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab lost 2.8%.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab bounced back from losses in the previous session, inching up 0.1%. Oil major Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab rose 1.1%, while Savola Group (2050.SE), opens new tab surged 10% to hit an eight-month high.

The Kingdom's largest foods producer, Savola, said on Sunday its shareholders had approved the board's proposal to reduce capital and compensate the eligible shareholders by paying 8.34 billion riyals ($2.22 billion) in the form of Almarai shares.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports in October rose to their highest level in four months.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab was up 0.3%, lifted by gains in most sectors. Conglomerate Alpha Dhabi Holding (ALPHADHABI.AD), opens new tab climbed 5.6%, while Ghitha Holding (GHITHA.AD), opens new tab rose 4%.

The food and beverage giant Ghitha said on Tuesday it has amicably scrapped the deal to acquire a 44% stake in MNG Havayollari ve Tasimacilik A.S.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab was down 0.3%, with most constituents posting losses. Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH.CA), opens new tab dropped 1.4% and EFG Holding (HRHO.CA), opens new tab slid 2.5%.

"While investors await the Fed's decision, concerns remain that a hawkish outlook could strengthen the U.S. dollar, which may put additional pressure on the Egyptian pound, said George Pavel, general manager at Naga.com Middle East.

"This currency dynamic could negatively impact market sentiment".

Tuesday, 17 December 2024

Private Credit Has New Opportunities in the Gulf, Lawrence Golub Says - Bloomberg

Private Credit Has New Opportunities in the Gulf, Lawrence Golub Says - Bloomberg

New mid-sized businesses springing up in the Gulf will offer fresh lending opportunities to private credit firms in the region, the chief executive officer of Golub Capital said.

Initially, the opportunities for direct lending in the region are likely to be in the “hundreds of millions not billions of dollars,” Lawrence Golub, CEO of the eponymous private credit firm said in an interview. The Gulf has “a great many government-related companies and a great many large family enterprises, who don’t really have any need for direct lending capital,” he said.

Instead medium-sized businesses, which are really starting to grow in the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, are an area where the firm can expand into, Golub said.

Golub Capital has opened an office in Abu Dhabi, becoming the latest private credit firm to expand in the region where scores of asset managers and hedge funds have flocked in search of capital. Pemberton Asset Management, one of Europe’s largest private-credit investors, raised at least $1 billion along with Abu Dhabi Investment Authority in June to back private equity firms.

Institutions such as BlackRock Inc. and Blackstone Inc. have made the Middle East a hub for fundraising, targeting state-backed investors and massive family offices. But to date, international firms have done little by way of investing locally, despite the efforts of Gulf governments. To date, private credit dealflow in the region remains limited.

“We are studying, but not yet ready to take action on direct lending in the region. We’re not ready to launch it yet,” Golub said. “Now we are taking other actions to be more engaged in the communities here.”

The private credit player, with around $70 billion in loans outstanding, hired Naser Almutairi as managing director for the Gulf region and to lead its Abu Dhabi office.

The arrival of private credit is a logical next step for a region that’s already drawn hedge funds, crypto firms and Russian billionaires in search of deep-pocketed business partners.

Among the entrants this year, private credit lender Monroe Capital is opening an office in Abu Dhabi after hiring a head of Middle East distribution. Blue Owl and Hayfin Capital Management are also expanding in the region.

Emaar lifts #Dubai to over decade-high; most Gulf shares slip | Reuters

Emaar lifts Dubai to over decade-high; most Gulf shares slip | Reuters


Dubai's benchmark share index surged on Tuesday to its highest level in more than a decade, while most other markets in the Gulf tracked global equities lower ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later this week.

Dubai's benchmark stock index (.DFMGI), opens new tab extended its rally to a second straight session, rising 0.6% to 5,080, its highest in 10 years and three months.

Shares of Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab were up for a second day, rising 15% to their highest in nearly 19 years, after the developer said on Monday it had planned to declare dividends at 100% of share capital for 2024 and the next few years, amounting to 8.80 billion dirhams ($2.4 billion).

The Qatari benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab snapped its six-session winning streak and slipped 1.1%, with almost all stocks in the red. Industries Qatar (IQCD.QA), opens new tab dropped 2.7% and Qatar Islamic Bank (QISB.QA), opens new tab slid 1.1%.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab slipped 1.2%, with all sectors in the negative territory. Oil major Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab dropped 1.2% and Almarai (2280.SE), opens new tab lost 4.3%.

Savola Group (2050.SE), opens new tab soared 10% after the Kingdom's largest foods producer said on Sunday its shareholders approved the board's proposal to reduce capital and compensate by paying 8.34 billion riyals ($2.22 billion) in the form of Almarai shares.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab was down 0.2%, pressured by losses in most sectors. Aldar Properties (ALDAR.AD), opens new tab lost 1.1% while ADNOC Gas (ADNOCGAS.AD), opens new tab slid 1.2% after the natural gas producer appointed a new CEO.

Among other fallers, ADNOC Drilling (ADNOCDRILL.AD), opens new tab was down 0.5%. The drilling unit of state-owned energy giant ADNOC, said it has formed an 'unconventional' energy venture with SLB, Patterson-UTI.

Meanwhile, the U.S. central bank is expected to cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point at its Dec. 17-18 meeting, which will also provide an updated look at how much further Fed officials think they will reduce rates in 2025 and perhaps into 2026.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the riyals, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab was down 0.6%, weighed down by a 2% drop in Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab and a 3.6% fall in Abu Qir Fertilizers (ABUK.CA), opens new tab.

Monday, 16 December 2024

#Dubai outperforms other Gulf markets as Fed rate decision eyed | Reuters

Dubai outperforms other Gulf markets as Fed rate decision eyed | Reuters


Dubai's benchmark share index jumped on Monday to its highest level in more than a decade, lifted by real estate and finance, while most other markets in the Gulf also gained ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision due later this week.

The U.S. central bank is expected to cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point at its Dec. 17 to 18 meeting, which will also provide an updated look at how much further Fed officials think they will reduce rates in 2025 and perhaps into 2026.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the dirhams, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Dubai's benchmark stock index (.DFMGI), opens new tab jumped 4.5% to 5,048, its highest in 10 years and two months. Emirates NBD(ENBD.DU), opens new tab, Dubai's largest lender, rose 9.3%.

Shares in Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab surged 14.7% to their highest level in nearly 17 years, after the blue-chip developer said it had planned to declare dividends at 100% of share capital for 2024 and next few years, amounting to 8.80 billion dirhams ($2.4 billion).

Meanwhile, HSBC raised its target price for the stock to 13.2 dirhams from 10.8 dirhams.

The Qatari benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab extended its rally to a sixth session, gaining 0.4%. Industries Qatar (IQCD.QA), opens new tab rose 2.1% and Gulf International Services (GIS) added 0.4%.

State-owned energy giant QatarEnergy, which holds significant stakes in GIS and IQCD, reached an agreement on Sunday with Harmattan Energy Limited to acquire a 27.5% interest in an offshore exploration block in Namibia.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab bounced back after three straight sessions of losses, and rose 0.3%. ACWA Power (2082.SE), opens new tab gained 3.2% and Batic Investments and Logistics Co (4110.SE), opens new tab climbed 4.1%.

Conglomerate Batic said it had reached a memorandum of understanding with Parkin Company (PARKIN.DU), opens new tab to explore smart city parking solutions across Saudi Arabia.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab was up 0.2%, helped by a 3.6% rise in Aldar Properties (ALDAR.AD), opens new tab and a 4.1% rise in Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB.AD), opens new tab.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab was up 0.1% with GB Auto (GBCO.CA), opens new tab rising 4.4% and Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH.CA), opens new tab adding 2.5%.

Sunday, 15 December 2024

Most Gulf markets muted ahead of Fed rate decision; #Qatar extends gains | Reuters

Most Gulf markets muted ahead of Fed rate decision; Qatar extends gains | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended lower on Sunday as investors awaited clues on the future path for interest rates from next week's U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.

Data released on Thursday showed higher than expected U.S. producer prices in November. The bets for a cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 meeting stand at close to 97%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. However, they indicate chances of a pause in January.

The Fed's decisions have a significant impact on the region's monetary policy, as most currencies there are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab was down for a third straight session, falling 0.3%, with most sectors in the red.

Riyad Bank (1010.SE), opens new tab lost 2.1% while Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development (4300.SE), opens new tab shed 0.7%. The developer's LSE-listed international arm, Dar Global has agreed a number of deals with The Trump Organization, including plans for Trump towers in Jeddah and Dubai.

However, Saudi Cable (2110.SE), opens new tab surged 8.5% after its Bahrain branch signed a project contract with Diyar Al Muharraq Co.

Oman's benchmark index (.MSX30), opens new tab slipped 0.7%, with all of its constituents seeing losses. Bank Dhofar (BKDB.OM), opens new tab dropped 4.7% and Voltamp Energy (VOES.OM), opens new tab slid 9%.

OQ Base Industries (OQBI.OM), opens new tab ended 3.6% lower after falling as much as 10% in early trading on its market debut. The petroleum wholesaler, OQBI, has raised $488.8 million through a 49% stake sale in initial public offering.

The Qatari benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab extended its rally to a fifth session, gaining 0.1%. Qatar Fuel (QFLS.QA), opens new tab rose 1.8% and Gulf International Services (GISS.QA), opens new tab (GIS) climbed 3%.

Meanwhile, state-owned energy giant QatarEnergy, which holds significant stakes in GIS and Qatar Fuel has entered into an agreement with Harmattan Energy Limited to acquire a 27.5% interest in an offshore exploration block in Namibia.

Among other gainers, Lesha Bank (QFBQ.QA), opens new tab was up 2.1% after the Islamic lender said it has acquired five Boeing 777-300ER aircraft worth around 1 billion riyals ($274.35 million) to lease them to an airline.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab eased 0.1%, with Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH.CA), opens new tab sliding 1.8% and Eastern Company (EAST.CA), opens new tab falling 0.8%.

However, Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab added 0.6% and Palm Hills Development (PHDC.CA), opens new tab rose 1.4%. The real estate developer, PHD, said on Thursday it has raised its stake in Taaleem Management Services (TALM.CA), opens new tab to 32.61%.

Friday, 13 December 2024

Real estate and industrial stocks lift #Dubai; #AbuDhabi falls | Reuters #UAE

Real estate and industrial stocks lift Dubai; Abu Dhabi falls | Reuters

Dubai's main share index closed higher on Friday, in line with oil prices, boosted by gains in real estate and industrial sector stocks while the Abu Dhabi index declined.

Dubai's main market (.DFMGI), opens new tab rose 0.4%, extending gains to the third session, lifted by a 1.5% surge in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab and a 1.9% jump in state-owned parking lot operator Parkin Company (PARKIN.DU), opens new tab.

Among the gainers, investment bank Shuaa Capital (SHUA.DU), opens new tab gained 1.5% after the bank reached a settlement agreement with a key creditor as part of ongoing capital optimisation initiative.

However, Abu Dhabi's benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab edged down 0.1%, snapping two sessions' gains, dragged down by a 1.4% decline in UAE's largest lender First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB.AD), opens new tab and a 0.9% loss in Emirates Telecom Group (EAND.AD), opens new tab.

The Abu Dhabi stock market was relatively stable, continuing to trade within a three-week price range with potential support coming from an oil price recovery, said George Pavel, general manager at Naga.com Middle East.

Dubai's index logged 0.5% losses on a weekly basis, while Abu Dhabi closed flat, according to LSEG data.

However, Sharjah-based Dana Gas (DANA.AD), opens new tab gained 1.4% after it received a $20 million payment in Egypt, and said it plans to reinvest the funds in Egypt as part of the consolidation agreement with its government.

Meanwhile, oil prices - a key catalyst for the Gulf's financial market - drifted higher on supply jitters driven by newly added sanctions on Russia and Iran and hopes that Chinese stimulus measures could lift demand in the world's No. 2 oil consumer.
Brent crude was up 0.78% to $73.41 a barrel by 1041 GMT.

Thursday, 12 December 2024

Most Gulf shares rise on Fed rate-cut bets; #Saudi extends loss | Reuters

Most Gulf shares rise on Fed rate-cut bets; Saudi extends loss | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended higher on Thursday, in step with a global equity rally after U.S. consumer inflation data cemented bets of a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next week.

A Labor Department report showed on Wednesday U.S. consumer prices in November marked their biggest increase in seven months.

Markets are pricing in a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points next week, up from an 86% chance before the data.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the Saudi riyal, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Dubai's benchmark stock index (.DFMGI), opens new tab reversed early losses and ended 0.3% higher with most sectors in the green. Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab rose 1.6% and Emirates NBD (ENBD.DU), opens new tab added 1%.

Dubai's largest lender, ENBD, has invested in Zodia Custody, a London-based crypto firm.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab was up for a second consecutive session, rising 0.1%. Conglomerate Alpha Dhabi Holding (ALPHADHABI.AD), opens new tab gained 2.9% and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB.AD), opens new tab added 2.3%.

The Qatari benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab extended its rally to a fourth straight session, rising 0.2% with almost all sectors in positive territory. Doha Bank (DOBK.QA), opens new tab gained 1.8%, and Mesaieed Petrochemical (MPHC.QA), opens new tab added 0.9%.

Qatar recorded a budget surplus of 100 million riyals ($27.43 million) in the third quarter of 2024, the finance ministry said on Wednesday.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab was down for a second straight session, falling 0.4%, while the index posted gains for two weeks in a row.

Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SE), opens new tab, the world's largest Islamic lender, slid 1.2%, and Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab shed 0.4%. Saudi Arabia's crude oil supply to China is set to rebound to a three-month high in January, trade sources said, thanks to price cuts by the world's top exporter.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab was up 0.2% with most sectors in the green. GB Auto (GBCO.CA), opens new tab surged 4.4% and Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab gained 1.2%.

Egypt will seek to sell stakes in at least 10 companies in 2025, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said on Wednesday, either through public listings or strategic partnerships.

Wednesday, 11 December 2024

Most Gulf markets ease ahead of US inflation data | Reuters

Most Gulf markets ease ahead of US inflation data | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf ended lower on Wednesday, in line with Asian markets, as investors cautiously awaited U.S. inflation data that is expected to put the Federal Reserve on course to cut rates again.

Investors were cautious because there was an 85% probability of a U.S. rate cut next week already factored in, and with Wall Street indexes near record highs, there is a risk of disappointment.

The median forecast of economists polled by Reuters is for headline and core U.S. consumer prices increasing 0.3% month on month for November. No forecasts were above 0.3%, which analysts say leaves markets vulnerable to a surprise.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the Saudi riyal, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab dropped 0.4%, hit by a 3.2% fall in ACWA Power Company (2082.SE), opens new tab and a 0.4% decrease in Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SE), opens new tab.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab reversed early losses to finish flat.

Talabat Holding (TALABAT.DU), opens new tab concluded flat a day after tumbling about 7% to 1.49 dirhams in debut trade.

Talabat Holding, one of the biggest food-ordering businesses in the Middle East, has raised about $2 billion from the largest initial public offering in the UAE this year.

In the previous session, the Dubai index slid more than 1% after the United Arab Emirates, starting January, will impose a minimum top-up tax (DMTT) of 15% on large multinational companies operating in the country, the finance ministry said, as the government seeks to boost non-oil revenue.

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab added 0.2%.

Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets - climbed 1% as market participants anticipated a rise in demand from top importer China following Beijing's latest plans to boost economic growth.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab gained 0.4% in a choppy trade, with Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab rising 1.5%.

Egypt's annual urban consumer price inflation rate dropped more than expected to 25.5% in November, its lowest since December 2022, data from statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Tuesday.

#Qatar’s $500bn wealth fund targets bigger deals as LNG windfall looms

Qatar’s $500bn wealth fund targets bigger deals as LNG windfall looms

Qatar’s $500bn sovereign wealth fund is preparing to deploy its cash more aggressively ahead of a petrodollar windfall that could ultimately double its size. 

Mohammed Al-Sowaidi, the Qatar Investment Authority’s new chief executive, told the Financial Times the fund expected to “do bigger-ticket deals” and invest with “more frequency” as it embarked on a review of its investment strategy. 

“We have to be more aggressively deploying and finding ways where we could actually achieve more returns than the perceived risk,” Sowaidi said. “You review overall your allocation policies, you look into global trends and you make some calls on the future forecasts and you see how you optimise deployment.” 

The fund typically conducts a review of its investment strategy every five years, with the last one taking place in 2019. Sowaidi takes over with the QIA having doubled its workforce since 2018 ahead of an expected windfall as Qatar’s vast expansion of liquefied natural gas production begins to come online. 

As the fund prepares to step up its deal flow, the QIA is bullish on the US, where it has increased its exposure significantly over the past decade, as well as in the UK and Asia, Sowaidi said, with a focus on technology, artificial intelligence, healthcare, real estate and infrastructure. 

“You can see the US is spending time on . . . creating more efficient fiscal policies, regulation and regulatory environment. The market perceives that it will be accelerated under the Trump administration,” Sowaidi said. “The UK, from what we’ve heard and what you’ve seen, is thinking the same. 

“The second thing is the availability of talent . . . and the third is that they are free markets, so those are markets where you can invest, can get in and there is very good governance.” 

The QIA has built a portfolio of high-profile assets, including UK department store Harrods as well as significant stakes in Canary Wharf and Heathrow airport. It is also a shareholder in German carmaker Volkswagen and Spanish energy group Iberdrola. 

Qatar, one of the world’s top LNG exporters and wealthiest nations in per capita terms, has spent almost $30bn to increase production capacity at its vast North Field gasfield from 77mn to 126mn tonnes a year by 2027. 

State producer QatarEnergy announced further expansion plans in February, meaning overall production capacity is forecast to rise almost 85 per cent from current levels before the end of the decade. 

Its Golden Pass joint venture in the US with ExxonMobil, which is expected to add another 16mn to 18mn tonnes of LNG a year to the market, will come online late next year. 

The IMF estimated in a report two years ago that by 2027 the expansion was expected to raise the small Gulf state’s real GDP by 5.7 per cent and add about 3.5 per cent of GDP in export receipts a year. 

The QIA will be the main recipient of the LNG revenues, and Sowaidi said the inflows had the potential to double its size over five years. 

The fund has recruited heavily in preparation for the windfall, with staff numbers doubling to more than 700 since 2018. Kevin Zhu, who was hired in July as acting chief of investment strategy from Canadian pension fund manager OPTrust, will oversee the investment review. 

Sowaidi, who was the fund’s chief investment officer for the Americas before being appointed chief last month, said the QIA was also looking to build up its offices in the US and Singapore, and while it manages the majority of its funds internally, it was also “scaling up with third-party managers”. 

“The size of the QIA will grow in terms of people and there will be a deep revision in terms of whether we need to include new strategies as well as approaches to getting into the market. We are just starting to think of those questions,” he said. “It’s basically sharpening the edges of the organisation to be able to grow more and to achieve better returns.” 

He added that the QIA did not have plans to be a majority shareholder or operator of the companies in which it invests, but that it would achieve “bigger ticket deals and more frequency”. 

Asked if the QIA had held discussions with Elon Musk and Sam Altman at Open AI, both of whom have courted Gulf sovereign wealth funds to finance their AI projects, Sowaidi said: “We are quite active with everyone.” 

“We’ve been an ongoing investor with [Musk] on multiple kinds of ventures,” he added. The QIA was among investors who participated in the recent fundraising by Musk’s xAI, and invested in the venture’s first capital raising. It is also an investor in X, Musk’s social media platform, and Starlink, his satellite communications venture. 

Yet while positive on the US market, Sowaidi said he was “concerned” about trade wars and inflationary risks as president-elect Donald Trump prepared to re-enter the White House. 

“One thing [that] could be potentially a risk with the US administration’s direction is the potential pressure on inflation,” he said. “When you think of the deglobalisation globally, the supply chain reconfiguration . . . this is a global phenomenon. Inflation is the biggest enemy to economies so that’s something that we are watching very closely.” 

He added that trade wars were also “changing in nature”, saying they not only affected goods “but also services, and IT services, which is quite complicated to unfold”. 

The QIA had been expanding its investments in China, and continued to look to invest in the Asian powerhouse, Sowaidi said, while “also respecting the regulations”. 

He said the fund was “trying to be out of this sensitive technology space that could potentially have issues with global regulators”. 

“We reviewed areas where we think there could be potential complications with the US or with Europe, and we tried to reduce exposure,” Sowaidi added. “We have a sizeable exposure in Asia and we are ramping it up. We think east Asia presents a great opportunity, in Japan, for example, and South Korea.”

Tuesday, 10 December 2024

#AbuDhabi Funds: ADIA Seeks More Innovation in Private Credit (ETFs) - Bloomberg

Abu Dhabi Funds: ADIA Seeks More Innovation in Private Credit (ETFs) - Bloomberg

Abu Dhabi’s $1 trillion sovereign investor called for more innovative products including exchange-traded funds in the private credit market, where it’s been ramping up bets in recent years.

“There’s a lot of opportunities in that asset class,” Abu Dhabi Investment Authority Executive Director Dhaen Al Hameli said on a panel Tuesday. “We want to see more innovation — we’re seeing a lot of private credit funds partnering with asset managers to create some kind of products with liquidity.”

As an example, he pointed to exchange-traded funds. “ETFs give you a sense of exposure to underlying illiquid nature of private credit, and that’s definitely exciting,” Al Hameli said at the Abu Dhabi Finance Week.

His comments come days after the first two ETFs to hold private credit loans began trading. The new fund launches followed a surprise filing from Apollo Global Management Inc. and State Street Corp. in September for an ETF that will include private credit investments originated by the former.

ADIA, as the fund is known, is Abu Dhabi’s biggest state-backed investor and has helped drive the city’s push into the $1.6 trillion private credit market. As part of broad changes to its strategy, the fund is now putting money more rapidly into the sector, Bloomberg News has reported.

Earlier this year, ADIA boosted its exposure to real estate private credit fund Cheyne Capital and it has also committed $1 billion to a new vehicle set up by Barclays Plc and AGL Credit Management. Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Investment Co. has also unveiled a string of deals in the sector.

#Saudi bourse gains ahead of US rate cut decision; #Dubai falls on tax concerns | Reuters

Saudi bourse gains ahead of US rate cut decision; Dubai falls on tax concerns | Reuters


Saudi Arabian stock market ended higher on Tuesday, as investors looked ahead to the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, while the Dubai bourse retreated on tax concerns.

Fed officials appear on track to cut interest rates this month after data showed the U.S. labor market remained strong but continued to cool in November.

The U.S. Fed started its interest rate easing cycle with an unusually large 50-basis-point cut in September, followed by a 25 bps cut in November. Traders are pricing an 86% chance of another quarter-percentage-point cut from the central bank at its Dec. 17-18 meeting. FEDWATCH

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf region where most currencies, including Saudi Arabia's, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab advanced 0.8%, led by a 0.4% rise in Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SE), opens new tab and a 1.2% increase in oil giant Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab retreated 1.1%, weighed down by a 2.7% fall in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab and a 1.6% decrease in toll operator Salik Co (SALIK.DU), opens new tab.

The United Arab Emirates starting in January will impose a minimum top-up tax (DMTT) of 15% on large multinational companies operating in the country, the finance ministry said on Monday, as the government seeks to boost non-oil revenue.

In the short term, a higher tax regime will inevitably impact profitability for businesses that were used to enjoying relatively lower taxes offered by the Gulf state, leading to a negative investor sentiment, said Bal Krishen, Chairman - Century Group.

Elsewhere, Talabat Holding (TALABAT.DU), opens new tab tumbled 6.9% to 1.49 dirhams in debut trade.

Talabat Holding, one of the biggest food-ordering businesses in the Middle East, has raised about $2 billion from the largest initial public offering in the UAE this year.

In Abu Dhabi, the index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab closed flat.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab dropped 1.3%, as most of its constituents were in the negative territory, including top lender Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab, which was down 1.5%.

Monday, 9 December 2024

Most Gulf markets gain as investors await US inflation data | Reuters

Most Gulf markets gain as investors await US inflation data | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf closed higher on Monday as investors waited for a reading of U.S. inflation data later this week for insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.

Fed officials appear on track to cut interest rates this month after data showed the U.S. labor market remained strong but continued to cool in November.

U.S. employers added 227,000 jobs last month, a rebound from a hurricane-related slowdown in October, but the unemployment rate inched up to 4.2%, the Labor Department's monthly employment report showed on Friday.

According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets currently see a roughly 85% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut this month.

The Fed's decisions impact monetary policy in the Gulf region where most currencies, including Saudi Arabia's, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab advanced 1.2%, led by a 4.1% jump in Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SE), opens new tab and a 1.3% increase in oil giant Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab.

Oil prices - a catalyst for the Gulf's financial markets -climbed by more than 1% as top importer China flagged its first move toward a loosened monetary policy since 2010, aiming to bolster economic growth, state media reported citing a Politburo meeting.

In Qatar, the index (.QSI), opens new tab gained 0.6%, with the Gulf's biggest lender Qatar National Bank (QNBK.QA), opens new tab finishing 1.3% higher.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab eased 0.1%, hit by a 2% fall in blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab.

The Abu Dhabi index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab was down 0.1%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab lost 0.2%, weighed down by a 3.8% fall in E-Finance for Digital and Financial Investments (EFIH.CA), opens new tab.

Sunday, 8 December 2024

#Saudi stocks gain on US rate cut bets; #Qatar falls | Reuters

Saudi stocks gain on US rate cut bets; Qatar falls | Reuters


Saudi Arabia's stock market ended higher on Sunday as investors raised their bets on the prospect of a U.S. interest rate cut this month after U.S. payrolls data showed strong job growth in November, although the Qatari index retreated.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000 jobs last month after increasing by an upwardly revised 36,000 in October, in a month hit by hurricanes and strikes. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls accelerating by 200,000 jobs.

Traders now see an 87% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the Federal Reserve's December meeting, versus a 72% chance before the payrolls data. FEDWATCH

The Fed's decisions significantly impact the Gulf region's monetary policy, as most currencies in the region, including Saudi Arabia's, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab edged 0.2% higher, helped by a 2.3% rise in aluminium products manufacturer Al Taiseer Group (4143.SE), opens new tab.

The country's economy grew 2.8% in the third quarter from the same period a year earlier, supported by an increase in non-oil activity, government data showed on Sunday.

In Qatar, the index (.QSI), opens new tab eased 0.3%, hit by a 1.9% fall in the Gulf's biggest lender Qatar National Bank (QNBK.QA), opens new tab.

Meanwhile, Qatar - the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) producer - has no concerns about U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's promise to lift a cap on LNG exports, Qatar's Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi said on Saturday, adding his country would cope with any competition.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab gained 0.7%, led by a 4.9% jump in Telecom Egypt (ETEL.CA), opens new tab.

Inflation in Egypt is forecast to have eased to 26.4% in November as food prices cooled, according to a poll released on Sunday.

#Dubai’s Talabat (DHER) IPO Solidifies Stock Exchange’s Turnaround - Bloomberg #UAE

Dubai’s Talabat (DHER) IPO Solidifies Stock Exchange’s Turnaround - Bloomberg

German food delivery giant Delivery Hero SE’s Middle Eastern unit is set to start trading in Dubai next week, solidifying a years-long turnaround for the city’s bourse.

Talabat’s $2 billion initial public offering, the largest in the Middle East this year and the biggest technology listing globally, could also help kickstart a new chapter in the emirate’s push for private listings.

“Talabat is definitely not a one-off,” according to Prasad Chari, group head of equity capital markets at Emirates NBD, which helped lead the IPO. The bank is in “active discussions” with several issuers and sponsors globally who are considering Dubai’s bourse for a potential listing, Chari said.

Emirates NBD has been among the leading advisers on new share sales in Dubai since the city embarked on an IPO push towards the end of 2021. The government’s privatization program has since raised more than $8 billion and the new additions have helped almost double the total market capitalization of stocks listed on the bourse.

Combined with a similar flurry of deals in neighboring Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates as a whole is set to be the busiest venue for listings in the broader Europe, Middle East and Africa region for the third year in a row, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

For Dubai, that’s a reversal from just a few short years ago.

Back in 2021, new share sales had all but dried up and a string of delistings further dented investor confidence. Meantime, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh were well into their privatization drives that drew in billions of dollars and transformed the region into a hotspot for IPOs.

Dubai’s fortunes started to change that November, when the deputy ruler unveiled plans to list 10 state-owned companies. At the same time, the stock exchange saw a sweeping overhaul of its board and the city announced a raft of initiatives to encourage private firms to go public.

Those moves coincided with a post-pandemic boom in Dubai’s economy, which was bolstered by the World Expo and looser travel restrictions that helped revive the tourism industry. An influx of expatriates from around the world has since boosted that recovery.

All of that has meant a number of Dubai IPOs have seen stellar performances, led by firms tied to the city’s economy. Shares in toll operator Salik Co. and a public parking business have more than doubled from their offer prices.

Talabat’s debut will be closely monitored by other firms, including the operator of classifieds website Dubizzle, the owner of shisha brand Al Fakher and hotel operator FIVE Holdings, who’re all considering share sales.

It could also be seen as a gauge for government-owned enterprises that are now preparing to list.

A few years after a string of real estate delistings amid a sputtering property market, the government is looking to cash in on the rebound — Dubai Holding is considering bundling two property portfolios into real estate investment trusts and listing them, Bloomberg News has reported.

Secondary sell-downs are also expected to follow the IPO wave, according to ENBD’s Chari, adding further liquidity to the exchange.

IPOs Have Helped Drive Dubai Bourse's Turnaround

The benchmark Dubai Financial Market General Index has risen nearly 20% this year, far outperforming peers in Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia.

But as stocks in the city continue to trade near 2014 highs, that also means pricier valuations. Analysts have previously cautioned that the index could potentially be “more sensitive to any setbacks than further good news.”

“A key risk for the Dubai economy is softer global growth, which would reduce demand for key external facing service sectors,” said Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank. “However, the investment plans should provide support to the economy. Dubai’s fiscal position has also seen a marked strengthening.”

Friday, 6 December 2024

#UAE stocks mixed as investors eye US payrolls data | Reuters

UAE stocks mixed as investors eye US payrolls data | Reuters


Stock markets in the United Arab Emirates closed mixed on Friday amid weakening oil prices and Fed rate cut bets as investors eagerly await the U.S. payrolls report due later in the day.

The Fed's decisions significantly impact the Gulf region's monetary policy, as most currencies in the region, including United Emirates', are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Meanwhile, oil prices, a major driver for Gulf economies, fell as analysts continued to forecast a supply surplus in 2025 despite the OPEC+ decision to postpone planned supply increases and extend deep output cuts to the end of 2026.

Brent crude futures were down 1.03%, to $71.35 per barrel at 1216 GMT.

Abu Dhabi's index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab retreated 0.1%, after gaining in the last two consecutive sessions. Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB.AD), opens new tab, UAE's third-largest bank by assets, fell 1.4% and Alpha Dhabi Holding (ALPHADHABI.AD), opens new tab was down 1.8%.

In Dubai, the main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab rose 0.7%, led by gains in almost all the sectors, with Dubai's largest lender Emirates NBD Bank (ENBD.DU), opens new tab, and blue-chip developer Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab gaining more than 1%, while Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (DEWAA.DU), opens new tab was up 2.6%.

Thursday, 5 December 2024

#UAE: #Dubai’s Alleged Crypto Scams Are Raking in Billions - Bloomberg

UAE: Dubai’s Alleged Crypto Scams Are Raking in Billions - Bloomberg


On a scorching July day in Dubai, Sam Lee was inside a climate-controlled wine bar, sipping a glass of chilled red, looking untouchable. Near the beginning of the year, US authorities announced that they’d charged Lee in absentia with conspiracy to commit securities fraud and wire fraud. They alleged that, as the co-founder of a company called HyperVerse, he’d orchestrated a cryptocurrency scam that bilked investors around the world for almost $2 billion. HyperVerse had promised returns as high as 1% a day via cutting-edge blockchain-based strategies, but according to the US Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission, it was just an old-fashioned Ponzi scheme.

In a series of interviews with Bloomberg Businessweek, Lee, an Australian citizen who’s been living and working in Dubai for the past several years, denied the allegations against him and said any misuse of HyperVerse funds must have been conducted by someone else. “Startups fail,” he said at the wine bar, playfully tilting his glass. “That’s just the nature of business.” Whenever he got a tough question, he paused for a prolonged beat, sometimes cocking a dark eyebrow. US officials had said they were working with counterparts in the United Arab Emirates to hand Lee a summons, but he wasn’t concerned with the US government’s wishes: “They have no evidence, so I don’t have to do anything.”

Although HyperVerse was defunct, Lee’s other business operations weren’t tough to find. He said he had a network of people running a string of similar projects in Dubai, and US court documents corroborate this, as do interviews with his colleagues and rivals. At the wine bar, he said Dubai’s booming crypto industry and loose legal frameworks made it the perfect base of operations. “I thrive in this country.”

Over the past decade or so, experts say, Dubai has quietly become a leading home for a strain of crypto scamming that’s gone relatively unnoticed in the shadow of scandals at the level of FTX and Binance. According to US and international authorities, this other wave of companies isn’t just misusing customer money, like Sam Bankman-Fried, or violating anti-money-laundering laws, like Changpeng Zhao. FTX and Binance were still running exchanges that mostly worked. These other companies allegedly sucker investors into handing them money for digital coins the companies can either easily manipulate or simply never create. They develop shiny-looking investment platforms, then promise mouthwatering returns that they finance with capital from newer marks right up until the scams collapse under their own weight, perhaps a few months later, prosecutors say. On top of that, these platforms often grow exponentially by promising higher returns to those who can also bring in new investors—usually their friends and family.

Employing old-school tactics and usually keeping low profiles, those behind these alleged Ponzi and pyramid schemes have taken in a large haul. Since 2017, five of them have defrauded victims of more than $3.4 billion in total, according to US charges, which rank Lee’s operation at the top of that list. Dozens of other people whom US and international authorities have accused of operating similar schemes are also based in Dubai, according to public records and communications with some of those involved. The vast majority of the accused have continued to operate their businesses without serious legal repercussions. Pyramid and Ponzi schemes are illegal in the UAE, as are all investment scams, but prosecutions are few and far between, says David Utzke, a former crypto investigator for the US Internal Revenue Service. “There’s a sense in the UAE that criminals are allowed to come in and do whatever, as long as they’re not harming local citizens.”

The schemes are proliferating at a delicate moment for the UAE’s standing in the world of finance. In 2022 the nation was placed on the international Financial Action Task Force’s “gray list” of jurisdictions that don’t do enough to tackle illicit funds. It took steps to get itself removed from the list and has continued polishing its image since it succeeded this past February. But it’s kept its crypto rules loose, even as other countries tighten theirs, in a sustained bid to become the industry’s global capital. Now, according to international authorities and supported by public records, it appears to be home to a crypto scammer colony.

Reached for comment, the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs directed questions to the Dubai Police and the Ministry of Justice. Neither agency responded to inquiries.

Some of the people who’ve reported losing money to scams like these are more willing to talk. Rupert Honywood, a 67-year-old business coach near the southeastern English town of Tonbridge, was so taken with the promise of HyperVerse that he sold the house where he and his wife were living and handed £130,000 ($165,000) of their money over to Lee’s company, then talked their friends into investing, too. They all lost everything, and the Honywoods have had to start over on the housing ladder with a fraction of their original wealth while they try to recover their funds. “I’ve distanced myself from some of this emotionally,” Honywood says, “because I can’t cope sometimes.”

The UAE sometimes extradites people to the US, including alleged financial scammers, but it doesn’t have a formal extradition treaty with America or many other countries. It’s better known as a global financial center with open visa policies and little regulatory interference, which can make it an attractive option for people operating in legal gray areas.

As Dubai sought to attract crypto companies in the 2010s, suspected scammers began setting up shop there, too. Between 2015 and 2017, Bulgarian émigré Ruja Ignatova used Dubai as her base of operations while running OneCoin Ltd.—one of the largest fraud schemes ever perpetrated, according to US authorities. They say she siphoned $3.8 billion from victims by promising them digital tokens she never created. The FBI put Ignatova, who’s also known as the Cryptoqueen, on its Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list, and one of her co-founders has pleaded guilty to fraud. But her legacy appears to have persisted.

On an evening stroll by the Dubai Mall, visitors in 2023 could see ads for the company Onpassive splashed across the Burj Khalifa, the world’s tallest building. The company’s offices are on the 134th and 151st floors, and a nearby Onpassive-branded metro station still encourages passersby to sign up to the “future of Internet.” According to the SEC, Onpassive is a pyramid scheme. Last year the agency charged Chief Executive Officer Ash Mufareh with defrauding 800,000 people of $108 million combined. Onpassive’s website stopped processing payments earlier this year.

Mufareh, who didn’t respond to inquiries for this story, has denied the charges and said his company is a legitimate startup. The SEC suit is ongoing.

Few of Dubai’s alleged crypto scammers have been quite as splashy, but many are said to be much bigger. Meta Force is run by Lado Okhotnikov, a Russian entrepreneur who was indicted in Oregon last year for overseeing an alleged $340 million Ponzi and pyramid scheme called Forsage. Ultron, a nonfungible token company banned by Quebec authorities this spring, claims to have collected $200 million from investors; one of its main salesmen, Vitaliy Dubinin, continues to promote its NFTs and give other crypto advice from Dubai’s bluest rooftop pools. This September, Josip Heit, the alleged mastermind behind a crypto scam that Texas’ securities regulator estimated at $1 billion, agreed to settle fraud charges brought by several US states without admitting wrongdoing.

Heit said in a statement that the charges were dropped, although regulators denied that was the case. Heit still has to repay money to investors before the settlement is finalized. None of the other men or their companies responded to inquiries, though Okhotnikov has denied the charges against him and Dubinin hasn’t been charged or sued.

Lee moved to Dubai in 2021, when he was 32. He said at the wine bar that he’s the son of a Singaporean businessman he didn’t name, adding that his parents “spoiled” him. He and his little sister were raised by their mother in Melbourne after their parents split up, he said, and he went to the Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology for a year before flunking out. He spent several years working jobs in marketing and business analysis, then turned to crypto. In 2014 he co-created a Bitcoin-mining operation called Blockchain Global, soliciting individual investments from people in Australia. Blockchain Global later collapsed and went into receivership owing creditors AUD58 million ($38 million). The Australian Securities & Investments Commission opened an investigation (still ongoing) into whether Lee and other directors had used customer funds to pay their own bills and invest in other companies.

By then, Lee had spent years with his eyes on a bigger prize. He’d co-founded HyperVerse (originally HyperCash) in 2017, attracting thousands of investors with the promise of daily returns ranging from 0.5% to 1%. HyperVerse tokens were supposed to gain value through crypto mining operations the SEC says never existed. Instead, according to the agency, gains delivered to early investors came from the stakes of other investors, in textbook Ponzi fashion. What’s more, investors were encouraged to sell packages to friends and family and earn more in return, adding to the operation the hallmark of a pyramid scheme, according to the legal complaint. Retirees and young professionals from dozens of countries took part, joining through friends, family and even accountants or pastors who promised a safe route to a secure retirement, according to complaints later filed with US authorities.

Celebrity endorsements from the likes of Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Wozniak, actor Chuck Norris and ’N Sync singer Lance Bass contributed to HyperVerse’s popularity. “Be a galaxy pioneer, go on intergalactic explorations,” Wozniak said in a 2022 video about the company’s opaque relaunch. “Can’t wait for the HyperVerse.” Wozniak says he was paid $3,750 to read the script and had no idea the company was an alleged fraud. “This is very embarrassing,” he wrote in an email. Neither Norris nor Bass responded to requests for comment.

Near the end of HyperVerse’s sunny period, it supposedly appointed a new CEO named Steven Reece Lewis, who talked through the latest product updates in videos posted to social media. Eventually, however, “Lewis” revealed he was a paid actor in Thailand named Stephen Harrison. He said he’d been shocked to learn that HyperVerse was real—he thought he was just reading lines for an acting gig. By mid-2022, investors found themselves unable to withdraw funds, and the HyperVerse platform stopped functioning properly.

Lee then said publicly that he himself was just a “tech provider,” not the mastermind behind HyperVerse, and blamed secret new owners of the company for the collapse. US authorities disagreed. This past January the SEC and DOJ filed the fraud charges against Lee, saying he was “centrally involved” with HyperVerse and its related companies. When the charges came in, Lee went on Zoom calls with investors to protest his innocence. While US authorities arrested and charged associates who put their feet on American soil, Lee continued operating in Dubai.

Visitors who venture beyond Dubai’s dense rows of skyscrapers and glitzy hotels quickly find themselves in the desert. Construction cranes dot the landscape, buses take migrant laborers to work brutal construction jobs, and dusty skies hang over brown grass. Dubai Silicon Oasis, a sleepy tech hub on the city’s outskirts, housed Lee’s center of operations during the past year. Garrett Blakeslee, a former business partner who visited Lee’s space earlier this year, says inside “there were maybe 100 different offices, just crammed to the top with people from other countries, all on computers, creating pump-and-dump tokens.” Blakeslee, who says he split from Lee after becoming concerned about his operations, says Lee ran a number of fake crypto ventures there and at a crumbling hotel in Ras Al Khaimah, an emirate north of Dubai. This supports the allegations US authorities have leveled against several of the ventures in formal warnings to them.

In interviews, Lee said he had three office spaces in Dubai with 150 full-time workers, plus one large “call center” in Ras Al Khaimah and a big team of workers in India. During a visit to the Dubai-area building Blakeslee visited, Businessweek found the site cordoned off, with no one permitted to enter.

In his second sit-down with Businessweek, at a neon-red bar with a view of the swanky Dubai Marina, Lee said he’s set up shop in a range of locations around the city. “I have three offices for different businesses,” he said. “This is just best practice.”

Over the course of his years in Dubai, Lee has created a series of crypto enterprises that briefly promised great returns before falling apart, according to investors. There was StableDAO, started in 2022, which claimed to recover lost crypto funds; it received a desist and refrain order last year from California regulators, who accused it of being a “fraudulent pyramid and Ponzi scheme.” Around that time, Lee introduced Vidilook, a platform that paid people for watching ads after they forked over an initial subscription fee. A few months in, Vidilook stopped allowing people to withdraw their money, and many began complaining that they’d been scammed. In late 2023 his investment company We Are All Satoshi also received a desist and refrain order from California regulators, who called it, too, a pyramid and Ponzi scheme. We Are All Satoshi says the California allegation is out of date because Lee no longer runs the company, though it also says its business model remains the same. Both StableDAO and Vidilook are defunct.

After the US fraud charges were announced in January, Lee carried on with new shingles that sounded much like previous ones. He promoted Satoshi Math Club, a social group he ran that he suggested could help predict the future, and a Vidilook spinoff called V.E.N.D. that promised daily returns of 3%.

A couple days after the Dubai Marina interview, Lee brought some of his colleagues to an interview at a coffee shop on Dubai’s Happiness Street, where he was simultaneously helping to run a networking event for memecoin enthusiasts. In the windows of the coffee shop, there were Mercedes-Benzes for sale. Among those present was a man named Sakthi Visakan Rajaguru, who, Lee said, was helping to run the “low-cost” workforce in Chennai, India, that was keeping his websites online. Rajaguru described his operation as an educational venture teaching crypto-related skills to about 20,000 young Indians.

At the coffee shop, Lee described two new projects: smart contracts that would allow people to upload their CVs to the blockchain, and tokens that companies could issue as rewards to loyal customers. Periodically, he decamped to the next table to network and listen to a young mentee talk up the week’s popular memecoins to potential investors. (Tops on the list were Ponke, a coin symbolized by a monkey often wearing a green helmet, and Mew, a cat with an angry stare.) Privately, however, Lee made it clear he didn’t respect the people seeking his help finding the next big thing. These kinds of investors were just “a bunch of losers,” he said.

The US Federal Trade Commission received about 200 complaints against HyperVerse or some version of it between 2021 and early 2024. People from the US and dozens of other countries reported that the company had cost them as much as $200,000 apiece. “Now that it’s time for me to get my money out of there, they put it in ‘pending’ and won’t let me have it back,” wrote an investor from Palmdale, California. In the English city of Reading, therapist Diksha Chakravarti invested £14,000 of her nest egg, impressed by video presentations that showed the Burj Khalifa in the background. She lost all of her stake, and so did the friends and relatives who heard her talk up the investment. She’s since made back some of her money through a wealth recovery company that negotiated reimbursement with her bank. “I never had aspirations to be a millionaire, but I wanted to have something for retirement,” says Chakravarti, who’s 67. “I would have liked to have retired by now.”

In some cases, Dubai’s justice system can be punishing. In 2016 a phony foreign exchange company called Exential Group was revealed to have conned thousands of Emiratis out of hundreds of millions of dollars. The company was shut down by Dubai authorities, and a Dubai court sentenced the company’s two Indian operators to 513 years in prison and imposed the same sentence in absentia on one of their wives. More broadly, however, the country has yet to legislate explicitly on crypto crime.

The UAE has responded, in its way, to international pressure. In 2022, after the country was placed on the international gray list, the government said it would prosecute more cases tied to illicit finance and increase cooperation with international law enforcement agencies. Dubai, for its part, created a crypto regulator called the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority. So far, the largest fine the agency has issued, against the crypto exchange OPNX for operating without the proper license, is $2.7 million. This spring, while Binance Holdings Ltd. was reeling from a $4 billion settlement with US authorities over allegations of money laundering and sanctions violations, some countries took steps to stop it from operating locally, but VARA issued the company a fresh license. On the question of alleged scams such as HyperVerse’s and its cousins, VARA has been largely silent. “VARA is committed to ensuring the virtual asset ecosystem in Dubai is secure, transparent and compliant,” the agency said in a statement. It declined to comment on individual companies.

The international Financial Action Task Force took the UAE off its gray list in February. But two months later, the good-government nonprofit Transparency International said the country had done little to discourage fraud in the time between its addition to the list and its removal. (A spokesperson for the task force didn’t comment on that assessment but said in a statement: “The UAE was told that it must continue to combat high-risk money laundering when it was removed from the gray list, and continues to be subject to monitoring.”) Utzke, the former IRS investigator, says Dubai authorities have ultimately continued to defer to business interests. “They want to appear tough on crime,” he says, “but they also want to be at the forefront of innovation.”

Early this year, two American HyperVerse promoters were arrested on US soil, and both have since been charged with defrauding people of millions of dollars. They face years in prison; one has pleaded guilty and is awaiting sentencing. This could be why American crypto entrepreneurs in Dubai were less eager than Lee to meet for interviews. Among the reluctant was John Barksdale, an American in Dubai who, the SEC says, defrauded investors out of $124 million with his fake cryptocurrency, Ormeus Coin. If he’s extradited to the US, he’ll have to deal with a $79 million default judgment handed down in his absence. He’s also facing criminal charges that carry prison sentences with maximums ranging from 5 to 20 years. Barksdale didn’t respond to requests for comment.

During one interview, Lee showed off texts that appeared to be from Barksdale, saying he’d turned down the chance to talk because he doesn’t “want to poke the bear.” Lee said, “A lot of people are just very cautious,” but added that, as an Australian, he was less worried about blowback from US authorities. In another interview, he said part of what motivated him to speak with Businessweek was that he was working on a “redemption arc”—trying to clear his name in the court of public opinion.

Two months after those interviews, however, Lee’s communications abruptly stopped. Conducting a series of follow-up conversations in Dubai with several of his peers and colleagues, Businessweek attempted to reach Lee for a similar follow-up, but our queries went unanswered. In November, US authorities announced that Lee had been detained in a Dubai prison for several weeks and counting. As of early December, he was still believed to be there, though attempts to contact him were unsuccessful. Inquiries to US and UAE authorities about the possibility of his extradition went unanswered. The US criminal charges carry a maximum of five years in prison.

While HyperVerse is dead, money from the exchange has been withdrawn slowly since its implosion, sometimes transferred through a Dubai crypto exchange called CoinW that VARA authorized to operate last year. About a third of CoinW’s transactions come directly from HyperVerse, according to data from crypto intelligence group Chainalysis. Matthew Stern, the CEO of crypto consulting firm CNC Intelligence Inc., says this trail should have alarmed CoinW’s compliance department. “Best case, this points to significant gaps in their compliance procedures,” he says. “Worst case, there could be complicity.” In a statement, the company said, “CoinW does not have any formal association or endorsement of HyperVerse.” It added: “We take compliance very seriously and remain committed to safeguarding the integrity of our platform.”

Even if the authorities have ended Lee’s run of alleged scams, the ecosystem he thrived in won’t disappear overnight. Mai Summer Vue, a former saleswoman of Lee’s who says about 26,000 people joined HyperVerse through her, promotes what she calls crypto “opportunities” on a regular rotation of Zoom calls from California. (“We’re not scammers,” she says, stressing that crypto businesses are high-risk and investors should be prepared for volatility. “Nobody’s putting a gun to their heads.”) Crypto promoter Jorge Sebastiao, whose YEM coin is under investigation in Germany, talks up crypto projects at weekly networking events in Dubai’s Paramount Hotel. (He says he was just the front man for YEM and doesn’t promote the coins showcased at his networking meetups: “I just give a platform, and people can decide for themselves.”)

Shavez Anwar, a young former Lee protégé who helped develop StableDAO and has taken over We Are All Satoshi from Lee, says he now has 120 employees working on various projects, some on a company called BitcoinCode. This company supposedly allows investors to do their own crypto mining. From his luxury apartment in a suite of condos overlooking the Burj, he also just introduced a crypto index called Dodo and a crypto credit card called 9Pay that he claims is supported by Visa Inc. And far from being an enemy of VARA, he says, he often consults with the agency pro bono, offering his insight into the crypto ecosystem. “People like me, we have been very friendly with regulators,” he says. “We want to help them regulate properly.”

Visa said in a statement that it has no relationship with 9Pay. VARA deviated from its stated policy of not commenting on individual companies to say that not only does it not work with Anwar, but it’s also never heard of him.