Oil News: Just How Big Is the Biggest-Ever Slump in World Demand? - Bloomberg:
How low can you go? That seems to be the question bothering the world’s big-three oil forecasting agencies as they grapple to come to terms with the size of the slump in oil consumption triggered by the international response to the Covid-19 virus.
The International Energy Agency, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and the U.S. Energy Information Administration have all updated their oil market forecasts in the past week and they make grim reading. As recently as February, all three saw the world’s thirst for oil increasing by close to 1 million barrels a day this year. Now they are projecting a drop in annual average demand of anywhere between 5 million barrels a day and more than 9 million.
The IEA is the most bearish of the three agencies by some margin. Having been the least optimistic of the three about the strength of growth earlier in the year, it’s now way out in front of the others in its estimation of the demand destruction caused by the grounding of planes, parking of cars and suspension of large parts of the economies in much of the world.
How low can you go? That seems to be the question bothering the world’s big-three oil forecasting agencies as they grapple to come to terms with the size of the slump in oil consumption triggered by the international response to the Covid-19 virus.
The International Energy Agency, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and the U.S. Energy Information Administration have all updated their oil market forecasts in the past week and they make grim reading. As recently as February, all three saw the world’s thirst for oil increasing by close to 1 million barrels a day this year. Now they are projecting a drop in annual average demand of anywhere between 5 million barrels a day and more than 9 million.
The IEA is the most bearish of the three agencies by some margin. Having been the least optimistic of the three about the strength of growth earlier in the year, it’s now way out in front of the others in its estimation of the demand destruction caused by the grounding of planes, parking of cars and suspension of large parts of the economies in much of the world.
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