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| Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's treatment of Mohammed bin Nayef and his associates will test the resolve of Saudi Arabia’s friends and embolden its many opponents © Bandar Aldani/AFP/Getty |
There is a new wave of reform in the Middle East. The United Arab Emirates’ momentous decision to forge ties with Israel brings with it many questions about the future for Palestinians, but it confirms a willingness in Abu Dhabi to modernise and inject fresh thinking into the region’s politics.
In its larger neighbour Saudi Arabia, we see a country transforming. Riyadh was once a quiet, private place. No more: before the pandemic lockdown it teemed with activity. Women have been granted new freedoms and are gradually playing a larger role in society. Many Saudi youth are now excited about their country’s future. For those of us who have spent time in Saudi Arabia in recent decades, these are scenes we never witnessed in the past, the results of a reform process.
Despite this progress the 2018 murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi continues to shock the world. Even friends of the kingdom were astonished by the brutality of this senseless crime. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has spoken of his responsibility, as de facto leader of the country. The west has watched closely to see if this was a terrible aberration or indicates a pattern of behaviour.
Now, once again, Prince Mohammed’s unpredictable behaviour is becoming a cause for concern. Mohammed bin Nayef, the former crown prince, finds himself under house arrest on what appear to be trumped up charges.
Prince Mohammed bin Nayef was instrumental in countering al-Qaeda after the terror attacks of 9/11. His transformation of the kingdom’s intelligence service provided the US and its allies with important capabilities. The former crown prince took on al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, one of the terror group’s most vicious and murderous regional franchises. He bears the scars of almost being blown up in an assassination attempt by a suicide bomber.
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