Search This Blog

Monday, 28 July 2025

#AbuDhabi’s Etihad Airways may delay $1bln IPO to 2026

Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways may delay $1bln IPO to 2026


Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways is considering deferring its $1 billion IPO to the first quarter of 2026, allowing the UAE airline to capitalise on its recent partnerships, a source with knowledge of the matter told Zawya.

These agreements include a JV with Ethiopia inked in March and another with China Eastern Airlines in April. The carrier has also accelerated its network expansion after the announcement of Wizz Air’s decision to cease operations in Abu Dhabi from September 1.

“Etihad has done well signing JVs with partner airlines this year, and it now needs to deliver on these for its investors. While coming to market is not an issue, it just makes better business sense to push the IPO to early 2026,” the source said.

Etihad is fully owned by the UAE wealth fund ADQ, and the airline’s CEO, Antonoaldo Neves, has maintained that the decision to go public ultimately lies with its shareholder.

Zawya reached out to Etihad, but no comment was available at the time of publication.

The imposition of US-led tariffs, followed by a sudden flare-up in Middle Eastern tensions, had given markets pause, but Etihad’s decision to defer its listing from H1 2025 was largely led by its growth strategy, the source said.

“Etihad is a national airline, with a shareholder that is not value sensitive. It wants to go public when there’s a clearer story to map out its growth. You want to bring it [IPO] at the most opportune time, with market conditions that are 100% and will benefit the decision,” two banking sources familiar with the matter said.

Adnoc’s €12 Billion Covestro Deal Hit by EU Subsidy Probe - Bloomberg #AbuDhabi #UAE

Adnoc’s €12 Billion Covestro Deal Hit by EU Subsidy Probe - Bloomberg


Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s planned takeover of Covestro AG for nearly €12 billion ($14 billion) has been hit by an in-depth European Union probe under the bloc’s tough foreign-subsidy rules.

EU regulators said Monday they will investigate concerns that Adnoc’s state funding by the United Arab Emirates could allow it to behave in a way that hampers fair competition across the bloc.

The escalation sends a strong signal that EU regulators are increasingly wary of large state-backed deals for European companies, just as flows of Middle Eastern money into the region accelerate. Companies from Gulf states were involved in a record $52 billion of acquisitions in Europe last year, data compiled by Bloomberg show, and 2025 is comfortably on track to be their second-biggest year of outlays in the region.

The Adnoc-Covestro deal was previously approved under the bloc’s regular merger rules, but Monday’s investigation under the EU’s Foreign Subsidies Regulation, which came into full force in 2023, piles on scrutiny. Should the European Commission conclude that the rules are violated, the takeover could eventually be blocked unless sufficient concessions are made.

In a statement, the regulator said possible foreign subsidies include an unlimited guarantee from the UAE, and that state support may have enabled Adnoc to acquire Covestro at a valuation and financial terms that would not be in line with market conditions. The EU authority has set itself a deadline of Dec. 2 to issue a ruling.

“While we respect the European Commission’s process, we contest the preliminary findings of the Commission and are confident that when the facts are fully examined there will be no reason to hold up clearance of a transaction that will add great value for all stakeholders and stimulate European industry,” an Adnoc spokesperson said in a statement.

Adnoc’s investment arm XRG and Covestro remain in constructive talks with the European Commission and are working toward a conclusion of the review, Covestro said in an emailed statement.

Last year, Abu Dhabi’s Emirates Telecommunications Group Co PJSC was forced to sign up to commitments that removed an unlimited state guarantee, in order to win EU approval for its €2.2 billion acquisition of PPF Telecom Group assets.

“We do not consider this a substantial risk to the deal, is no real surprise and reads similarly to the one about Etisalat,” Thomas Nienaber, a managing director at advisory firm MKP Advisors, said of the decision to probe the Adnoc-Covestro transaction. “No deal has been outright blocked yet under the FSR.”

A takeover of Covestro would give Adnoc — the biggest oil producer in the United Arab Emirates — control over a German company that supplies materials for some of the world’s most prominent phone and carmakers.

Aside from acquisitions, the EU has wielded its foreign subsidy powers largely against Chinese involvement in European markets across rail and clean energy sectors. Regulators raided the premises of Nuctech — a Chinese security equipment company with sites in the Netherlands and Poland.

Gulf economies to rebound on higher oil output and revenue diversification: Reuters poll | Reuters

Gulf economies to rebound on higher oil output and revenue diversification: Reuters poll | Reuters

Ramped-up oil production and diversification efforts will help most Gulf economies grow faster this year than they did in 2024, a Reuters poll of economists suggested.

Despite deep cuts to oil output since late 2022, energy prices have largely stayed subdued as heightened geopolitical tensions and U.S. trade uncertainties have affected oil demand, hurting the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) revenues.

A separate poll expected Brent crude to average $67.86 per barrel in 2025. It has largely traded around $70 so far this year.

OPEC countries have ramped up oil production since April to regain market share from rival producers such as the United States and are encouraging tourism to diversify revenue streams, opens new tab.

Saudi Arabia's gross domestic product was expected to grow 3.8% this year, the poll of 20 economists taken from July 15-28 showed. That is nearly three times the 1.3% the economy expanded in 2024.

"We had always anticipated that OPEC+ would be returning more barrels to the market this year than initially indicated, but the pace at which it is proceeding has exceeded even our expectations," Daniel Richards, MENA economist at Emirates NBD, said.

"It is clear that the (Saudi) government remains committed to the diversification efforts and ... the value of project spending that has already been implemented should be sufficient to maintain a robust pace of growth over the next several years."

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) was expected to outperform its peers to grow 4.8% in 2025 and 4.6% in 2026, an upgrade from 4.5% and 4.2% in an April poll.

Qatar was predicted to grow 2.7% this year and accelerate to 5.4% in 2026 - its fastest expansion in 13 years - as its massive liquified natural gas (LNG) expansion project starts next year. Both Qatar and the UAE are also reducing dependence on oil by becoming tourism destinations.

"Qatar benefits from resilient gas revenues ... Both countries (Qatar and UAE) are well positioned due to strong buffers and ongoing non-oil diversification," Bader Al Sarraf, research analyst at Standard Chartered, said.

"Oman and Saudi Arabia are good examples of adapting to lower oil with fiscal discipline and reform acceleration," he added.

Growth in Oman and Kuwait was forecast to hit three-year highs of 2.8% and 3.0%, respectively, in 2025. Bahrain was an outlier, with growth seen easing slightly to 2.9% from 3.0% last year.

While Middle East economies are largely shielded from U.S. tariff threats, other countries are under pressure to reach deals with President Donald Trump before they are slapped with heavy duties on August 1.

Inflation across the Gulf was expected to remain benign.

Poll medians showed inflation across the region holding within a 1.0%-2.5% range in 2025. Forecasts for the UAE and Saudi Arabia were pegged at 2.0% with Qatar at 1.5%.

"The general trend has been for modest headline inflation across the board. While the U.S. dollar has weakened against G-8 currencies this year, its performance against other regional currencies has been stronger, which has mitigated any rise in FX-driven import costs to the bloc," Richards added.

#Dubai's financial centre registrations rise 32% in first half | Reuters

Dubai's financial centre registrations rise 32% in first half | Reuters


The Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) said Monday that company registrations grew 32% in the first half of the year as the financial hub welcomed 1,081 new companies, including asset management firms, hedge funds and family offices.

The DIFC said in a statement that the total number of active companies at the Gulf's largest financial hub sat at 7,700 as of the end of June, up 25% from a year earlier.

As Gulf countries diversify their economies away from oil, betting on sectors like financial services, hubs like DIFC have been attracting an increasing number of firms in recent years, lured by lower taxes, ease and clarity of regulations and the presence of some of the world's biggest sovereign wealth funds.

The number of hedge funds in DIFC grew by 72% to reach a total of 85 at the end of the first half.

New entrants included RV Capital and Silver Point Capital, which joined some of the industry's largest names that had already set up base in Dubai, such as Millenium and Point72.

The hub also reported a 19% increase in wealth management firms and a 73% jump in entities associated with family businesses as Dubai continues to attract private wealth.

The United Arab Emirates is on track to welcome nearly 10,000 high-net-worth individuals this year, more than any other country in the world, according to wealth migration consultancy Henley and Partners.

#UAE gains on trade optimism, earnings hopes; #Saudi slips in volatile trade | Reuters

UAE gains on trade optimism, earnings hopes; Saudi slips in volatile trade | Reuters


Gulf equities were mixed on Monday, with UAE markets tracking global gains on trade optimism, while Saudi markets edged down amid mixed earnings and several blue-chip stocks trading ex-dividend.

The United States and the European Union on Sunday struck a framework trade agreement that will impose a 15% import tariff on most EU goods, half the previously threatened rate.

Meanwhile, senior U.S. and Chinese officials will meet in Stockholm later on Monday to try to extend their tariff truce before an August 12 deadline.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab retreated 0.7%.

Banque Saudi Fransi (1050.SE), opens new tab and Arab National Bank (1080.SE), opens new tab dropped 5.3% and 3.8%, respectively, after their shares traded ex-dividend.

Petrochemical giant Saudi Kayan (2350.SE), opens new tab reversed early gains to close slightly lower as its second-quarter loss, though halved from a year earlier, was wider than analysts expected.

Arabian Cement (3010.SE), opens new tab slid more than 3% after its second-quarter profit fell short of estimates.

"A potential rebound hinges on continued positive earnings announcements and a recovery in oil prices", said George Pavel, general manager at Naga.com Middle East.

Dubai's benchmark index (.DFMGI), opens new tab rose as much as 1.4%, before paring gains to end up 0.3% at its highest close in 17-1/2 years. That was the fourth straight day of gains, supported by strong second-quarter earnings and global trade optimism, led by a 2.3% gain in Emirates NBD Bank (ENBD.DU), opens new tab.

The Abu Dhabi index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab edged up 0.2%, supported by a nearly 2% jump in heavyweight ADNOC Gas (ADNOCGAS.AD), opens new tab.

Qatar's benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab eased 0.4%, as traders locked in profits following a recent rally, with most sectors closing in the red, led by a 2.3% decline in Qatar Islamic Bank (QISB.QA), opens new tab.

Investors are now looking ahead to the next wave of corporate results this week, after a strong run in bank earnings helped lift sentiment across the region, Pavel noted.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab edged down 1.4% following a record peak in the previous session, with Talaat Moustafa Group (TMGH.CA), opens new tab declining over 3.5%.