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Friday, 30 May 2025

#Saudi Aramco could tap debt markets again after $5 billion bond sale | Reuters

Saudi Aramco could tap debt markets again after $5 billion bond sale | Reuters

Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab has published a new prospectus for its issuance programme of Islamic bonds or sukuk, signalling the state oil major may soon tap the debt markets again after it raised $5 billion from a three-part bond sale this week.

The prospectus, submitted to the London Stock Exchange where the sukuk would be listed, is dated May 30. Aramco has a year to issue sukuk under its terms.

Aramco earlier this week raised $5 billion from a sale of conventional bonds. The borrowing comes after economic uncertainty and rising supply hit crude markets, denting the top oil exporter's profits.

"Aramco is likely looking to take advantage of a window of relative market calm to issue debt again," said Zeina Rizk, co-head of fixed income at Amwal Capital Partners.

Aramco in March said it expected to slash its dividend this year by nearly a third as profits and free cash flow decline.

Reuters reported last week that Aramco is exploring potential asset sales to free up funds as it pursues international expansion and weathers lower crude prices.

The Saudi government is heavily reliant on generous payouts from Aramco, its longtime cash cow, also including royalties and taxes. Oil receipts made up 62% of state revenue last year.

The government does not disclose at which crude price its books are balanced. The IMF estimates it needs oil at over $90 a barrel for a balanced budget. Brent crude was trading around $64.4 on Friday.

Citi, HSBC and JPMorgan are the arrangers of the sukuk programme and are joined as dealers by First Abu Dhabi Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, SNB Capital and Standard Chartered.

#UAE markets fall but #Dubai index ends May at multi-year high | Reuters

UAE markets fall but Dubai index ends May at multi-year high | Reuters


Dubai's main share index ended May at its highest level since July 2008, even as global trade uncertainty and concern over an economic slowdown weighed on sentiment in Friday's session.

Oil prices - a catalyst for Gulf markets - were flat on Friday and heading for a second consecutive weekly loss, as investors weigh a potentially larger OPEC+ output hike for July, and uncertainty spreads around U.S. tariff policy after the latest courtroom twist.

United Arab Emirates' markets settled lower on Friday, with Dubai's index (.DFMGI), opens new tab retreating 0.22% and Abu Dhabi's benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab ending 0.62% lower, although the market ended the month at its highest level since March 2024.

Abu Dhabi's index also recorded a seventh consecutive weekly session of gains.

Ratings agency Fitch warned on Thursday that Dubai real estate prices are likely to face a double-digit fall in the second half of the year and in 2026.

The Gulf's business and tourism hub, Dubai has experienced a post-pandemic property boom, fuelled by foreign investment and government-led residency reforms, which have helped send real estate prices soaring.

Real estate development company Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab fell 1.13% on Friday. Healthcare and education investment company Amanat Holding (AMANT.DU), opens new tab was the biggest loser on the index, down 2.78%.

All other Gulf markets are closed on Friday.

Thursday, 29 May 2025

#SaudiArabia Seeks New IPOs to Attract Foreign Investors - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia Seeks New IPOs to Attract Foreign Investors - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia aims to increase potential public offerings as it seeks to diversify its economy away from oil and develop its financial sector.

“We are doing almost 30% from last year,” said Mohammed Al-Rumaih, chief executive officer of the Saudi stock exchange in an interview with Bloomberg Television, referring to the increase in numbers.

Asked about the pipeline for initial public offerings in the kingdom, Al-Rumaih said that like last year they were from different industries.

Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange saw about 15 firms list last year, with food and beverage the top category. It has already seen companies raise more than $1 billion this year. IPOs are a key part of the kingdom’s plan to diversify investment and draw in stronger revenues from outside the oil industry.

Al-Rumaih expects more listings from telecom and other tech companies in the future.

#SaudiArabia Hospital Operator SMC Claws Back Dividends During IPO Process - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia Hospital Operator SMC Claws Back Dividends During IPO Process - Bloomberg

Specialized Medical Co., which operates hospitals in Saudi Arabia, is set to close the institutional books for its initial public offering after existing shareholders agreed to return recently paid dividends and the company issued a revised prospectus.

The dividends, totaling 200 million riyals ($53 million), will be returned to the company by the end of June, SMC said in a second prospectus issued on May 25. The firm also announced a reset of the institutional order book, and held a call with investors two days later.

At least two investors have withdrawn their orders while at least one other still intends to buy shares, according to people familiar with the matter, who declined to be identified by name.

Institutional investors have until 5 pm Riyadh time today to revise or cancel orders. No new bids will be accepted. The retail subscription period will be June 15 and 16.

An SMC spokesperson said that, as disclosed in the second supplementary prospectus, shareholders “decided to reverse the dividends for the general benefit of the IPO.” The spokesperson added that the company remains confident about the listing and that the “institutional tranche continues to attract strong interest, in line with recent IPOs.”

A spokesperson for the Saudi Capital Market Authority, the regulator, said all its decisions related to listings are published through its official channels and referred further questions to SMC.

Dividends paid in the fourth quarter last year were disclosed in audited financial statements, the company said in its May 27 presentation to investors. Dividends paid in the first quarter this year were not disclosed “due to a technical interpretation issue.” The regulator “requested formal alignment across all documentation, prompting this procedural update,” the company said in the presentation, part of which has been seen by Bloomberg News.

Existing SMC shareholders are offering a 30% stake, or 75 million shares, at a price range of 24 to 25 riyals apiece. The top end of that range implies a market value of about 6.2 billion riyals.

The Company for Cooperative Insurance — known as Tawuniya — agreed to subscribe to 5.9 million shares, or roughly 2.35% of the company’s post-offer equity, as a cornerstone investor. SMC said Tawuniya’s allocation remains unchanged. The offering was fully covered within hours of the subscription period opening, Bloomberg News reported earlier this month.

SMC is working with SNB Capital and EFG Hermes on the IPO. Representatives for SNB declined to comment, while EFG didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.

#SaudiArabia’s PIF Said to Explore Tech Unit IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia’s PIF Said to Explore Tech Unit IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is exploring an initial public offering of a wholly-owned technology firm, according to people familiar with the matter, as the kingdom steps up efforts to raise cash for its economic diversification drive.

Banks have been invited to pitch for roles on a potential share sale of Saudi Information Technology Co., or SITE, the people said, asking not to be named discussing private information. The deliberations are at an early stage and details such as the size and timing of the offer are still under discussion, the people said.

A representative for the PIF declined to comment.

The sovereign wealth fund is the main vehicle for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Vision 2030, a plan expected to cost nearly $2 trillion. Technology is a key pillar in that effort to reduce the Saudi economy’s reliance on oil.

The kingdom’s tech ambitions were underscored earlier this month during a visit by US President Donald Trump. Saudi Arabia launched Humain, a new PIF-backed company focused on artificial intelligence software and infrastructure. Meanwhile, Nvidia Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. announced plans to supply semiconductors to Humain for a major data center project.

Saudi Arabia’s finances are under pressure from lower oil prices. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recently warned the budget deficit could balloon to $67 billion.

The PIF is leaning on asset sales to help finance Vision 2030’s sweeping initiatives. In addition to SITE, the fund is also preparing listings for a medical procurement company, a port operator and a district cooling firm. Prince Mohammed has previously said the PIF should divest some of its holdings as they mature as a way to finance new investments.

Debt markets are another key funding source. The Saudi government, the PIF and its subsidiaries have raised about $23 billion through bond sales so far this year. State-backed oil giant Aramco also tapped the market for $5 billion earlier this week.

SITE, founded in 2017, offers services including cybersecurity, cloud computing and systems integration, according to the wealth fund’s website.

#Dubai real estate prices likely to face double-digit fall after years of boom, Fitch says | Reuters

Dubai real estate prices likely to face double-digit fall after years of boom, Fitch says | Reuters


Dubai's real estate market prices are likely to face a double-double-digit fall in the second half of the year and in 2026, ratings agency Fitch said in a report on Thursday, marking a sharp turn after years of a post-pandemic boom.

A spike in deliveries in 2025 and 2026 to a planned 210,000 units, doubling from the previous three years, is likely to cause a record increase in supply and push prices down by no more than 15%, the agency said.

The possible drop would follow a rise of around 60% in residential units prices between 2022 and the first quarter of this year in Dubai, where massive infrastructure spending, generous income tax policies and relaxed social and visa rules lured thousands of foreigners after the COVID-19 pandemic, including Russians amid war in Ukraine.

Real estate plays a vital role for the economy of the emirate, the Gulf's hub for business and tourism, with sector transactions worth 761 billion dirhams ($207.22 billion) last year, rising 36% in volume, according to Dubai government data.

In the past, Dubai suffered painful corrections akin to the property crash in 2009 which required a $20 billion Abu Dhabi-led bailout.

The government has since taken measures to deleverage and strengthen the sector, and consolidated major state-owned real estate developers.

It has also pursued an economic reboot anchored in what it hopes is sustainable growth, including a 10-year plan known as D33, to double output and become one of the world's top four financial centres.

Fitch said on Thursday that banks and homebuilders can tolerate a decrease in prices.

It noted that while real estate remains the largest component in UAE banks' lending books, banking sector exposure to firms operating in real estate had dropped to 14% of total gross loans at end of last year from 20% three years earlier.

The attractiveness of properties in prime locations, which include palm tree-shaped artificial island Palm Jumeirah, together with delays in project completion would also help mitigate pricing pressure.

#Dubai's stock index snaps five-day winning streak as Fitch flags property woes | Reuters

Dubai's stock index snaps five-day winning streak as Fitch flags property woes | Reuters


Most Gulf stock markets settled lower on Thursday, with Dubai's main index (.DFMGI), opens new tab snapping five consecutive sessions of gain, after ratings agency Fitch warned that the real estate prices of the emirate are likely to face a double-digit fall in the second half of this year and 2026.

The agency said that a rise in deliveries in 2025 and 2026 to a planned 210,000 units is likely to cause a record increase in supply and push prices down by no more than 15%.

In Dubai, real estate development company Emaar Properties (EMAR.DU), opens new tab, known for its notable works like Dubai Marina, Dubai Creek Harbour and the Dubai Mall, was down 1.48%. The index was down 0.61%.

Real estate plays a crucial role in the economy of Dubai, a hub for business and tourism for most Gulf regions.

Meanwhile, oil prices rose on Thursday after a U.S. court blocked most of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs, with markets keeping a close eye on possible new sanctions curbing Russian crude flows and an OPEC+ decision expected later this week on an output hike in July.

The ruling bolstered the global market's risk appetite. However, analysts have warned that the reprieve may only last temporarily as The White House quickly appealed the decision and could take it to the Supreme Court.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab settled down 0.56%. Real state companies in the kingdom also took a hit, with Makkah Construction and Development (4100.SE), opens new tab losing 5.65% and Jabal Omar (4250.SE), opens new tab was down 4.52%.

"The Saudi bourse remained relatively volatile after rebounding from its low. While a rise in oil prices could provide support, the downside risks weigh on sentiment," said Hani Abuagla, Senior Market Analyst at XTB MENA.

"The market remained on a downtrend overall, but could find support from successful initial public offerings."

In Abu Dhabi, the benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab finished flat.

Qatar's benchmark stock index (.QSI), opens new tab settled down 0.72%, with Vodafone Qatar (VFQS.QA), opens new tab losing 2.91%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab , finished up 0.62%. Real estate company Emaar Misr (EMFD.CA), opens new tab was down 2.32% and Telecom Egypt (ETEL.CA), opens new tab finished 2.33% lower.

The Central Bank in Egypt also lowered its overnight interest rates last week by a less-than-expected 100 basis points.

#SaudiArabia to ‘take stock’ of spending after oil price drop

Saudi Arabia to ‘take stock’ of spending after oil price drop


Saudi Arabia’s finance minister said the kingdom would “take stock” of its spending priorities as it grappled with a sharp drop in oil revenue and the global tumult triggered by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs. 

Mohammed al-Jadaan told the Financial Times that Riyadh planned to maintain its current pace of government spending — despite widening budget and current account deficits, and rising debt — as it seeks to support ambitious development plans. 

But he said Saudi Arabia would use the period of lower oil prices, as well as the uncertain global outlook, to evaluate how it managed the vast array of development projects under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s $1tn plans to diversify the economy and boost non-oil growth. 

“We’re not going to waste the crisis. People think that what’s happening in the world is a crisis, but our economy is doing very well,” Jadaan said. “It’s a chance to look at things — if there’s an opportunity to do something bold, do it.” 

A “crisis provides us an opportunity to take stock and consider”, he said. “Are we rushing [projects]? Are there unintended consequences? Should we delay? Should we reschedule? Should we accelerate?” 

Jadaan said the prime focus was to avoid falling into the “trap of booms and busts” that had long plagued the oil-dependent kingdom. “We are very aware of how important it is that we don’t go procyclical, but countercyclical,” he said. “Instead of working to just balance the books, by design we are making sure that we spend in support of the growth.”

Even before the slump in oil prices this year — Brent crude is trading at about $64 a barrel, after averaging $82 last year — Riyadh was recalibrating its spending after almost a decade of frenzied activity as it attempted to manage its massive financial commitments and prevent the economy overheating. 

The Public Investment Fund, which is responsible for the development of the country’s megaprojects, is also going through a “similar, very prudent exercise of making sure that they also recalibrate”, said Jadaan, who sits on the $940bn sovereign wealth fund’s board. 

The FT reported last month that the new chief executive of Neom, the PIF’s flagship $500bn development, was conducting a comprehensive review of the scope and priority of its futuristic projects. 

The government budgeted a slight decrease in its expenditure this year compared with last. Sectors being prioritised include tourism, manufacturing, logistics, renewable energy and technology, with the state’s petrodollar-fuelled spending the key driver of economic activity. 

Riyadh has been enduring the twin hit of falling oil prices and reduced exports, pumping at its lowest levels since 2011 after voluntarily cutting crude production as the de facto leader of Opec+. The cartel is starting to unwind those cuts and gradually raise output, but that risks putting more pressure on prices. 

An 18 per cent drop in oil revenue in the first quarter of this year, compared with the same period in 2024, underlined the challenges the kingdom faces. The fiscal deficit swelled to $15.6bn in that period, the highest quarterly deficit since 2021. 

That suggested the finance ministry would miss its target of narrowing the budget deficit to 2.3 per cent of GDP this year. 

The IMF forecasts the budget deficit will widen above 4 per cent of GDP this year and next, estimating Riyadh’s break-even oil price — the level it needs to balance its books — to be $92 a barrel. 

Jadaan said he would not be worried about the deficit widening to 3 per cent, 4 per cent, or “occasionally” 5 per cent of GDP as long as government spending supported non-oil growth — a key metric of its diversification plans. 

Jadaan said other factors that would cause the government to slow down would be to protect its foreign reserves and ensure the cost of debt remained “reasonable”. 

The kingdom, already one of the biggest emerging market issuers of debt this year, will have to borrow more to fund the gap. 

Its debt-to-GDP ratio is relatively low at 26 per cent, and Jadaan said he did not see “any reasonable scenario” that “would make us even come close to” the ministry’s ceiling of 40 per cent.

“There will possibly be more deficit than we anticipated in the budget, but not significant,” Jadaan said. “We still have plenty of room in our fiscal buffers, ample foreign reserves [and] significant government reserves.” 

He still expects GDP growth to meet the forecast of 4.6 per cent for the year, driven by non-oil activities, up from 1.3 per cent in 2024. The IMF, however, forecasts 3 per cent growth, a slight downward revision from an earlier estimate. 

But Jadaan said what made the government feel “comfortable” was the fact that “a lot of the targets have been reached or on track to be achieved”. 

“That gives us a lot of confidence,” he said. “But we aren’t complacent.”

Wednesday, 28 May 2025

Bravo Partners With Middle East Investor on US Property Loans - Bloomberg

Bravo Partners With Middle East Investor on US Property Loans - Bloomberg

Bravo Property Trust, a real estate credit investment platform, signed an agreement with a Middle Eastern investment manager to finance $400 million of property loans in the US.

Bravo signed an agreement with a Middle Eastern asset manager that oversees sovereign wealth fund capital, according to a statement that didn’t name the investor. The capital will be deployed across whole loan bridge, construction and stabilized apartment and healthcare-property deals.

“This partnership reflects the increasing demand from sovereign and institutional capital for direct access to high-quality, asset-backed credit in the U.S. housing market,” Bravo’s Chief Executive Officer Aaron Krawitz said in the statement.

The investment will focus on properties that have a clear path for a takeout by the US Department of Housing and Urban Development or another agency. Since the firm’s inception, Bravo and its affiliates have originated and financed more than $1.6 billion in bridge and HUD-focused loans.

Investors have been drawn to opportunities across the US real estate credit market, as borrowing rates remain high. Many banks also have pulled back, creating more opportunities for other lenders willing to step in. And firms have been bullish on financing apartments while a housing shortage in the US threatens to keep rents relatively high.

#Dubai Ruler’s $584 Million REIT IPO Surges In Debut - Bloomberg

Dubai Ruler’s $584 Million REIT IPO Surges In Debut - Bloomberg

Dubai Holding’s $584 million residential real estate investment trust surged in its trading debut, as the city’s property market boom continues to lure investors.

Dubai Residential REIT closed nearly 14% higher at 1.25 dirhams per unit on Wednesday, after rising as much as 19% from the offer price of 1.10 dirhams.

The investment firm controlled by the emirate’s ruler had demand for all units within minutes of opening books and later increased the size of the offer from $487 million. The IPO was marketed as a rare opportunity to gain exposure to Dubai’s fast-growing residential real estate sector.

Dubai’s property market – both residential and commercial – has been buoyed by an influx of new residents since the pandemic, amid looser visa regulations and low taxes. Property prices have risen as much as 70% over the past four years.

The overall demand was “very healthy,” said Pradyut Pratap, co-head of investment banking for the Middle East and North Africa region at Morgan Stanley, one of the deal’s global coordinators. “A number of high-quality international names joined the book — including blue-chip hedge funds, long-only funds and real estate specialists.”

Dubai Holding is also planning to list a separate property portfolio which includes malls and other commercial assets to capitalize on this momentum.

A host of firms in the United Arab Emirates are seeking to take advantage of the supportive market, with two contractors lining up listings and two online property portals courting equity investors.

Dubai Residential REIT’s listing is the city’s first IPO of the year, and furthers the government’s privatization drive, which has seen it take public a utility, a parking operator and a taxi company.

Analysts said the deal could also help REITs gain traction in the UAE, where the asset class has had a checkered history. But Dubai’s real estate rally is increasingly pricing out buyers, sparking a renewed interest in REITs. Some investors are opting for fractional ownership apps, with entry points as low as $136.

In addition to Morgan Stanley, Emirates NBD Capital and Citigroup Inc. acted as joint global coordinators on the deal. Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Arqaam Capital and First Abu Dhabi Bank acted as joint bookrunners.

#Saudi Stocks Set to Be World’s Worst in May After Oil-Price Drop - Bloomberg

Saudi Stocks Set to Be World’s Worst in May After Oil-Price Drop - Bloomberg


Saudi Arabia’s sliding stocks are on course to be the worst performers globally this month as falling oil prices prompt concerns of slower spending on mega projects in the kingdom.

The Tadawul All Share Index has slumped 6.4% in May as of Tuesday’s close, the most among 92 equity benchmarks tracked by Bloomberg. The Saudi gauge is also dropping for a fourth month, the longest losing streak since 2014. That’s a sharp divergence with the broader emerging market index, which is heading for its best month since September and the longest sequence of gains for almost a year.

Weakness in oil is at the heart of faltering sentiment toward Saudi stocks. Crude prices sank to a four-year low in early April, with the outlook clouded by trade tensions and increasing supply from OPEC+ members. That adds to pressure on Saudi finances after the kingdom reported the widest budget deficit since late 2021 in the first quarter.

“There are fears that the fall in oil revenues could affect the projects market,” said Junaid Ansari at Kamco Invest in Kuwait City, referring to plans for transformational development where the state is the key investor. Ansari sees this market view persisting, given expectations that oil prices will remain subdued.

The weakness has been broad-based, with only 23 out of 253 Tadawul members trading in the green so far in May, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Al Rajhi Bank, the kingdom’s largest lender by market capitalization, and utility ACWA Power Co. have been the biggest drag by index points.

Brent oil is trading around $65 a barrel, well short of levels Saudi Arabia needs to cover its outlays. First-quarter data showed the government needed crude at $96 to balance its budget, rising to $113 when the sovereign wealth fund’s domestic spending plans are included, according to Bloomberg Economics’ Ziad Daoud. ‎Those thresholds are both at the highest since at least 2016, when Saudi Arabia launched its Vision 2030.

Dominic Bokor-Ingram, a fund manager at Fiera Capital, said the timing on some “aspirational mega projects” could be pushed back by financial constraints, a near-term challenge to his bullish view overall on the Tadawul. The breakeven level for oil required by the Saudi economy is higher than regional peers, he said.

“Oil prices are a headwind for them, and force the country to make capital allocation decisions that they wouldn’t need to if oil prices were higher at around $100,” according to Bokor-Ingram.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners will gather online on Wednesday to review production quotas for this year and next. Eight key members will decide at the weekend whether to bolster output again in July.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. warned last month that Saudi Arabia’s budget deficit may swell to $67 billion this year. That may force the government to borrow more and cut back on economic transformation plans.

Still Bokor-Ingram bases his more optimistic long-term view on the Saudi market on expectations that the Vision 2030 plan is still intact and will keep luring investors.

Given the potential for transformation in the economy, “it’s too much of a risk to ignore the Saudi market for an emerging-market investor,” he said.

#UAE minister says trade talks with EU not a hurdle for deal between GCC and bloc | Reuters

UAE minister says trade talks with EU not a hurdle for deal between GCC and bloc | Reuters

The United Arab Emirates does not see bilateral talks for a free trade deal with the European Union as an obstacle to a similar agreement between the 27-nation bloc and the Gulf Cooperation Council, the UAE's trade minister said on Wednesday.

"We're not seeing this as a hurdle, we are seeing it's a flow which is going to be starting from here and moving to the GCC...usually the blocs are much slower than the bilateral, and that's why we're starting here, so we can move quickly," Thani Al Zeyoudi told reporters.

He said the UAE was keen to conclude a bilateral deal with the EU "in a very short period, three to six months from now."

He was speaking in Dubai beside the EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic as the EU and the UAE officially launched talks.

The UAE, an influential, oil-rich Middle East state, has long advocated deeper EU involvement in the Gulf region, with the GCC the EU's sixth-biggest export market.

Since 2021, the UAE has initiated a raft of bilateral trade, investment and cooperation deals - called Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements - to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels and bolster long-term growth prospects.

The EU and the GCC started trade talks 35 years ago but talks were formally suspended in 2008.

Zeyoudi said bilateral talks that the UAE held with New Zealand and South Korea in the past had led to trade agreements with the GCC.

He said the UAE also had the opportunity to start bilateral talks with the UK and that China had also approached the Gulf country for bilateral discussions, but said UAE would prioritise GCC talks.

Gulf stocks settle higher as oil prices rise | Reuters

Gulf stocks settle higher as oil prices rise | Reuters


Most stock markets in the Gulf settled higher on Wednesday, with Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab up 1.24% as oil prices rose and market sentiment improved after U.S. President Trump agreed to delay tariffs on EU products.

Oil prices - a catalyst for stock markets in the Gulf - rose more than 1% with Brent crude futures up 1.5%, to $65.02 a barrel by 1300 GMT.

Helping lift prices was news that the Trump administration would allow Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab to keep its assets in Venezuela but not export oil or expand activities.

Trump also said on Tuesday that the EU's move to set up trade talks was "positive", helping lift sentiment following his threat to impose 50% tariffs on goods from the bloc.

Gains remained limited, however, as markets await an upcoming decision from OPEC+ at the end of the week on an anticipated increase in oil output.

In Saudi Arabia, apparel and accessories retailer Al Hokair (4240.SE), opens new tab was the top gainer on the index, finishing up 5.38%.

"The market could find support as it continues to see strong interest in Saudi IPOs, including Flynas. Successful IPOs could help attract local and international capital to the stock market," said Joseph Dahrieh, Managing Principal at Tickmill.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab closed up 0.40% with National General Insurance up 9.95%. The index recorded its third consecutive session of gains.

The Abu Dhabi's benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab settled up 0.72%, its highest since March 18, 2024. First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB.AD), opens new tab, the United Arab Emirates' biggest lender, closed up 2.85%.

Analyst Joseph Dahrieh said that the stock market climbed after a period of stagnation, led by gains in the financial and energy sectors.

Qatar's benchmark stock index (.QSI), opens new tab fell 1.02%, with Qatar Islamic Bank (QIIB.QA), opens new tab down 2.36%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab finished up 0.30%. Real-estate company Madinet Masr (MASR.CA), opens new tab was the top gainer on the index, up 3.33%.

Egypt's central bank said last week the economy grew by 4.3% in the October-December quarter and projected it would grow by 5.0% in January-March.

#SaudiArabia seeks to use financial might to muscle into global AI industry

Saudi Arabia seeks to use financial might to muscle into global AI industry

Saudi Arabia’s new state-owned artificial intelligence company will seek investment from top US tech companies and will launch a $10bn venture capital fund as it leads the kingdom’s effort to become a global AI hub. 

Tareq Amin, chief executive of Humain, told the Financial Times he was in talks with American groups including OpenAI, Elon Musk’s xAI and Andreessen Horowitz about its ambitious plans. 

He said it was seeking a US tech group to become an equity partner in Humain’s data centre business, which aims to become one of the world’s biggest AI infrastructure providers, but declined to say which American companies were interested in such a deal. 

“We are in discussions with all of them,” Amin said in his first interview since Humain’s launch this month. “Some of them, which you will hear about very soon, are massive names in the data centre segment.” 

The 52-year-old said its VC fund, Humain Ventures, would launch this summer with an initial $10bn to spend in start-ups in the US, Europe and parts of Asia. 

Humain is seeking to use Saudi Arabia’s financial might to gain a central role in almost every aspect of the burgeoning AI industry — from investing, infrastructure and chip design. 

That sprawling strategy is unmatched outside a handful of US and Chinese Big Tech companies, which have had years, if not decades, to build their businesses and technical expertise. 

US tech firms increasingly view Gulf states and their powerful sovereign wealth funds as critical sources of investment, with American tech executives in talks with regional officials about investments and raising capital. 

Humain, which is owned and funded by the $940bn Public Investment Fund, was unveiled the day before US President Donald Trump visited Riyadh, with a host of top tech executives in tow, including Musk, OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Nvidia’s chief executive Jensen Huang. 

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom’s de facto leader, chairs Humain and has tasked it with driving Riyadh’s multibillion-dollar ambitions. The AI company had already inked deals worth $23bn with US tech groups, including Nvidia, AMD, Amazon Web Services and Qualcomm since its launch, said Amin. 

Humain has a target of establishing 1.9 gigawatt of data centre capacity by 2030, rising to 6.6GW four years later — which would be among the largest global AI infrastructure projects. Amin said that, at current market rates, the project would cost $77bn. 

The chief executive said Humain’s goal is, by 2030, to be processing 7 per cent of global “training”, the development of AI models and “inferencing”, the model’s responses to user requests. 

“The world is hungry for capacity,” said Amin, a Jordanian-American who was previously chief executive of Aramco Digital, the tech arm of the Saudi state oil company. “There are two paths you could take: you take it slow and we are definitely not taking it slow, or you go fast. 

“Whoever reaches the end line first, I think, is going to secure a good chunk of the market share.” 

The establishment of Humain underscores Prince Mohammed’s ambitions in the sector as energy rich Gulf states vie to be regional AI leaders, use technology to hasten the diversification of oil-dependent economies and become “data exporters”. 

Like the neighbouring United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia has decided to focus on working with American tech groups as it seeks to reassure US policymakers concerned about technology transfer to China, the region’s biggest trading partner. 

Amin said Humain understands that its “equity partners bring more than just capital”. 

“The importance of the US ecosystem is very critical,” he added. “If you go and look at our suppliers, you’ll discover that we were deliberate on the partnerships and the choices that we have picked . . . we did not want to make mistakes.” 

The first phase of its plan to build huge data centre parks will begin with a 50MW plant utilising 18,000 Nvidia chips it hopes to bring online next year, with a plan to expand that to 500MW in phases, which would require about 180,000 chips, Amin said. 

Musk’s “Colossus” AI cluster for xAI was built utilising 100,000 Nvidia GPUs. Meanwhile, the first US “Stargate” data centre being funded by OpenAI, Japan’s SoftBank and Oracle is expected to have 400,000 Nvidia’s GB200 chips — the latest “Superchip” for training and running AI systems. 

Humain has also signed a $10bn joint venture with AMD to supply 500MW of capacity over five years, and is investing $2bn with Qualcomm to develop data centres and chip design capabilities in the kingdom. 

Under the latter deal, Qualcomm will set up a chipset design centre in Riyadh that employs 500 engineers. Humain has no plans to move into chip manufacturing, however. 

Amin said Humain would begin the procurement process for the chips from the US tech firms in the next 30 days, adding that he was optimistic that the sales would be supported by the Trump administration. 

In recent weeks, Washington announced it was scrapping a Biden-era rule that limited the sale of AI chips to countries like Saudi Arabia, but added it would introduce a different rule as a replacement. 

Addressing concerns about privacy and security at data centres, Amin said Humain would allow “real-time inventory” or allowing customers to instantly audit how information was being used and processed. 

In addition, Riyadh was expected to pass legislation that would, in effect, mean data centres would be regulated under the laws of the country of origin of the tenant AI company, he said. It is unclear if this will satisfy strict “data sovereignty” rules, such as in the EU, which prevent the holding of sensitive information in overseas servers. 

To lure data centres to the kingdom, Riyadh is offering subsidies on electricity prices, which are already among the lowest in the world. Humain would provide the infrastructure for joint ventures. 

It is a model that has been applied for Groq, which has been building what it describes as the world’s largest inferencing data centre in the kingdom. It began as a joint venture with Aramco Digital, overseen by Amin, but will probably move to Humain as Riyadh looks to consolidate its prime AI assets within the new entity. 

In February, Riyadh agreed to a $1.5bn expansion of the project in the country’s Eastern Province, where Humain has secured a lease for 2.3 square miles of land at an industrial city. The site could host 10 200MW plants, Amin said, adding that Humain planned to develop a park three times the size in Riyadh. 

The plans come at a time when the government and the PIF are grappling with lower oil prices and the vast scale of their financial commitments with multiple megaprojects under way. 

But AI is considered one of the areas where the kingdom will look to prioritise. Asked whether a period of lower oil prices would impact Humain’s spending plans, Amin said: “The question we should ask: can you afford as a country to miss the opportunity?” 

Tuesday, 27 May 2025

#Saudi Aramco sets spread for three-part bond sale | Reuters

Saudi Aramco sets spread for three-part bond sale | Reuters

Oil giant Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab has set spread for its dollar-denominated 3-part bonds, fixed income news service IFR reported on Tuesday.

Aramco on Tuesday set the spread for the five-year debt sale at 80 basis points over U.S. Treasuries tighter than 115 bps over the same benchmark released earlier in the day.

The proceeds from each issue of bonds will be used by Saudi Aramco for general corporate purposes, the company said in a bourse filing.

The debt deal, which is expected to be priced later in the day, will be benchmark-sized, which is usually considered to be at least $500 million.

Earlier this month, Aramco reported a 4.6% drop in first quarter profits, citing lower sales and higher operating costs as economic uncertainty hit crude markets.

Reuters reported last week that the oil giant is exploring potential asset sales to release funds as it pursues international expansion and weathers the impact of lower crude prices .

The company last turned to global debt markets in July last year when it raised $6 billion from a three-tranche bond sale.

Saudi Arabia, which is seeking funds to invest in new industries and wean its economy away from oil under its Vision 2030 plan, has long relied on Saudi Aramco to support economic growth.

Other Gulf issuers have tapped debt markets in recent months, braving a market turmoil caused by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies.

They include Saudi Arabia's $925 billion sovereign wealth fund and Abu Dhabi's renewable energy firm Masdar, which last week raised $1 billion with a green bond.

#AbuDhabi's TAQA eyes acquisition opportunities in 'key' US market | Reuters

Abu Dhabi's TAQA eyes acquisition opportunities in 'key' US market | Reuters

Abu Dhabi's TAQA (TAQA.AD), opens new tab is exploring buying companies in the United States and elsewhere, its chief executive told Reuters, as the state-owned utility continues its international expansion and strives to reach ambitious growth targets.

"The U.S. is a key market for us," and "if the right opportunity presents itself for TAQA, we would be pursuing that," Jasim Husain Thabet said in an interview, without disclosing specific targets.

ADPower, a unit of Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ, owns just over 90% of TAQA, which in recent years has been investing in companies and projects across several markets including the United States. TAQA's Masdar unit last year acquired a 50% stake in U.S. renewable energy firm Terra-Gen.

The United Arab Emirates said this month it planned to raise its energy investments in the U.S. to $440 billion in the next decade, boosting U.S. President Donald Trump's efforts to secure major business deals on a Gulf tour.

TAQA has said it aims to spend around $20 billion between 2023 and 2030 on organic and inorganic growth, aiming for 150 gigawatts of capacity by the end of that period, up from around 56 GW now.

Thabet said that TAQA would generally prefer to acquire a fully integrated company with generation, networks and "a pipeline of growth".

Asked about possible investment opportunities in Syria, where the lifting of U.S. sanctions has cleared the way for foreign investments, Thabet said it was too early, but that the company would monitor the situation.

TAQA, which raised $1.75 billion from a bond sale last October, does not immediately need to raise more debt but might tap markets again if a large M&A deal materialises, he said.

The firm has not held talks this year with Naturgy's (NTGY.MC), opens new tab shareholders about buying a stake in the Spanish utility after such discussions were abandoned nearly a year ago, Thabet said, contradicting a news report from March.

He declined to comment on why talks to buy investor Criteria's 26.7% stake in Naturgy had broken down, saying only that there were "certain things that there was no agreement on".

"And it's fine when there's no agreement. Everyone walks their way. And it's important that we focus on the future and other M&A opportunities."

#SaudiArabia-Based REDA Hazard Control Is Said to Explore Sale - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia-Based REDA Hazard Control Is Said to Explore Sale - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia-based REDA Hazard Control has been exploring strategic options including a full sale, according to people familiar with the matter, offering a rare opportunity for investors to buy into a privately held firm in the kingdom.

The fire safety and equipment company has been working with Moelis & Co. on the potential transaction, the people said, asking not to be identified as the talks are private. It has approached prospective buyers — including both regional and international private equity firms, the people said.

No final decision has been made and discussions could still fall through, they added. Representatives for REDA and Moelis declined to comment.

Founded in 1986, REDA provides safety and security services to key sectors in the kingdom including oil, gas, petrochemicals and aviation. Its clients include oil giant Saudi Aramco and chemical major Sabic, according to the company’s website.

The company’s strong links to Saudi industrial heavyweights and its push to expand beyond the Gulf could make it attractive to global investors, the people said.

Saudi Arabia is in the middle of an economic transition aimed at boosting local manufacturing and developing non-oil sectors such as mining and aviation.

REDA also supplies specialty gear such as gas detectors, fire station equipment and welding helmets. Most of its offices, workshops and manufacturing sites are in the Gulf, but it also operates in Central and South Asia, North Africa and Ohio in the US, according to its website.

#SaudiArabia index closes at lowest since early April | Reuters

Saudi Arabia index closes at lowest since early April | Reuters


Saudi Arabia's main stock index closed down on Tuesday, reaching its lowest level since April 7 as market sentiment remains fragile due to the unpredictability of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs policy.

The index (.TASI), opens new tab shed 1.30% on Tuesday, underperforming its peers in the Middle East. Healthcare services provider AlMoosa Health Company (4018.SE), opens new tab was the top loser on the index, down 7.29%.

Saudi Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab is also seeking to raise funds through a dollar-denominated three-part bond sale, with the country's oil giant also exploring potential asset sales to release funds to pursue international expansion as reported last week.

Oil prices were little changed on Tuesday, with Brent crude futures down 28 cents, or 0.4%, at $64.46, on expectations of OPEC+ to increase output at a meeting later this week.

Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab closed up 0.37%, with Amlak Finance (AMLK.DU), opens new tab extending gains and closing up 5.61%. The company announced a board meeting for later this week to discuss asset sales and a potential exit from its real estate finance portfolio. The stock hit its highest level since 2008.

In Abu Dhabi, the benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab settled up 0.16%.

The Qatari benchmark stock index (.QSI), opens new tab fell 0.78%, with dairy producer Baladna Company (BLDN.QA), opens new tab down 1.28%.

Qatar National Bank (QNBK.QA), opens new tab, the largest bank in the region by assets, closed down 1.10%.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab settled up 1.49% with financial services provider Beltone Financial Holding (BTFH.CA), opens new tab up 6.76% and automotive company GB Auto (GBCO.CA), opens new tab up 6.30%.

Egypt's central bank lowered its overnight interest rates by a less-than-expected 100 basis points last week.

Monday, 26 May 2025

#SaudiArabia, #Qatar, #Kuwait Wealth Funds Issue Warnings; #UAE's AI University - Bloomberg

Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait Wealth Funds Issue Warnings; UAE's AI University - Bloomberg

Many sovereign wealth funds, particularly in the oil-rich Middle East, typically operate in secrecy. The Gulf giants control over $4 trillion between them, and the slightest shifts in allocation — or even tone — have the potential to cause significant shifts to the financial landscape. Given that, public comments are typically rare, and generally fairly guarded.

This past week was a departure from that script, with the bosses of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, the Qatar Investment Authority and the Kuwait Investment Authority all sounding blunt warnings on specific investments that are likely to resonate with investors around the world.

The starkest note came from the recently-appointed managing director of the $1 trillion KIA. “Private equity is very troubled, I believe, especially in the large buyouts, venture capital and the rise of continuation vehicles — that’s a very worrying sign,” Sheikh Saoud Salem Al-Sabah said on a panel at the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha. “Their time is coming up.”

The KIA is among the largest wealth funds in the world, and the second-biggest in the Middle East. While there have been other warnings on the state of the private equity industry, the KIA’s take is significant as many of the top Gulf wealth funds have historically been big backers of buyout firms.

The industry has struggled to return money to investors for years, said Sheikh Saoud, and while that’s mostly been due to a lack of deals and initial public offerings, some firms were underwriting deals at valuations that they would struggle to exit. “The clock is ticking.”

That statement came days after Yasir Al Rumayyan spoke on stage at an event in Albania. Two years after it was left nursing losses from the rapid collapse of Credit Suisse, the head of Saudi Arabia’s PIF said it will no longer invest in Switzerland’s financial markets.

Middle Eastern investors were hit particularly hard by Switzerland’s abrupt decision to bypass investor votes when UBS took over Credit Suisse in a government-backed rescue at a steep discount. At the time, Saudi National Bank — whose top shareholder is the PIF — held a stake of about 10% in Credit Suisse.

“We’re not going to invest in the financial markets in Switzerland,” Al Rumayyan said. “If you change something overnight and wipe out all of your investors, this is a big red flag,” he told Noel Quinn, who recently took over as chairman of Julius Baer Group. “As the chairman of a Swiss bank as of 10 days ago, that concerns me,” Quinn said in response.

Sandwiched between these comments, was a note of caution from the QIA on private credit, which is one of the hottest asset classes right now and has drawn major interest from Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds, including Mubadala and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

The Qatari wealth fund, though, looks to be taking a more cautious view.

It’s becoming a very crowded market,” according to Mohammed Al Sowaidi, chief executive officer of the $524 billion QIA. One of the major pitfalls when investing in private credit is that it may look like a credit piece but in reality it’s more of an equity story, Al Sowaidi said. “So we’re very careful,” he said, adding that the QIA’s strategy in private credit is “to focus on fewer managers and to go with scale.”

Sunday, 25 May 2025

Gulf markets in red as new tariff war looms | Reuters

Gulf markets in red as new tariff war looms | Reuters


Saudi stocks performed the worst in a declining Gulf market on Sunday following the latest tariff threat by the U.S. President on European Union goods, while Israel's latest assault on Gaza kept the region on edge.

Trump's statement on Truth Social on Friday that he is recommending a 50% tariff from June 1 on all EU goods sent global markets roiling.

Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab dropped for a third straight session, falling 1.7%% to 10,999, its lowest level since November 2023 with all sectors in the red. Al Rajhi Bank(1120.SE), opens new tab, the world's largest Islamic lender, lost 2% and ACWA Power (2082.SE), opens new tab declined 7.8%.

Among other losers, Saudi National Bank(1180.SE), opens new tab, the kingdom's largest lender, dropped 2.8% and Saudi state oil company, Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab, shed 0.6%.

Aramco is exploring potential asset sales to free up funds, two people with knowledge of the matter said on Saturday.

The Qatari benchmark index (.QSI), opens new tab snapped its six-session winning streak and fell 0.4% with almost all of its constituents posting losses. Qatar National Bank(QNBK.QA), opens new tab, the largest bank in the region, slipped 0.9% and Qatar Gas Transport (QGTS.QA), opens new tab declined 1.5%.

However, Commercial Bank (COMB.QA), opens new tab advanced 3% after the lender on Thursday approved a buyback of up to 10% of bank’s fully paid-up issued shares.

Meanwhile, the region remained on edge as Israeli military strikes killed at least 23 Palestinians across the Gaza Strip on Sunday.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab was up for a fourth consecutive session, rising 0.2% with E-Finance for Digital(EFIH.CA), opens new tab gaining 3.2% and Palm Hills Development (PHDC.CA), opens new tab advancing 3.4%.

The developer, PHD, signed an agreement to develop 1.87 million SQM plot of land in Abu Dhabi.

Friday, 23 May 2025

#Saudi Aramco seeks investors in Jafurah infrastructure assets, sources say | Reuters

Saudi Aramco seeks investors in Jafurah infrastructure assets, sources say | Reuters

Saudi oil giant Aramco (2222.SE), opens new tab is seeking investors in infrastructure, including pipelines, for its $100 billion Jafurah gas project, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters.

The Jafurah project is key to Saudi Aramco's ambitions to become a major global player in natural gas and to boost its gas production capacity by 60% by 2030 from 2021 levels.

Jafurah, potentially the biggest shale gas project outside of the United States, is expected to begin output this year and ramp up to 2 billion cubic feet per day by 2030. U.S. shale gas production in 2024 was around 80 billion cubic feet per day.

Aramco will retain majority ownership of the assets and remain the operator, one of the two people said. The investment in Jafurah will help develop the project, the second person said.

The two people spoke on condition of anonymity because the process is private.
Aramco declined to comment.

The potential deal around Jafurah will allow Aramco to raise funds at a time of falling oil prices and would follow efforts by the oil giant in recent years to place stakes in its infrastructure with funds.

BlackRock (BLK.N), opens new tab and EIG were among investor groups that took minority stakes in Aramco's oil and gas pipeline networks in two separate deals in 2021, helping the firm raise nearly $28 billion.

These groups took 49% stakes in subsidiaries Aramco Oil Pipelines and Aramco Gas Pipelines, in which Aramco retains 51% stakes. The subsidiaries receive a tariff from Aramco for flows of crude and natural gas, backed by minimum commitments on throughput.

For the Jafurah project, Aramco is building infrastructure including a gas processing plant, a natural gas liquids fractionation plant, a gas-compression system, and a network of around 1,500 km (932 miles) of pipelines. Total investments in Jafurah will exceed $100 billion over the next 15 years, Aramco Chief Executive Amin Nasser told local media earlier this year.

China approves #Qatar sovereign fund to buy a tenth of its top asset manager | Reuters

China approves Qatar sovereign fund to buy a tenth of its top asset manager | Reuters

China has given approval for Qatar's sovereign wealth fund to acquire a stake of 10% in its second-largest mutual fund company, the first such investment in the sector by a major Middle East investor at a time of rising tension with the West.

China's securities watchdog approved the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) to become a stakeholder in China Asset Management Co (ChinaAMC), an official filing by the China Securities Regulatory Commission showed on Thursday.

The price of the stake was not disclosed. Earlier filings by ChinaAMC's largest shareholder showed the 10% ownership would not be priced at less than $490 million.

In April last year Reuters first reported the sovereign fund had agreed to invest in the Chinese fund house.

QIA will become the third-biggest shareholder in ChinaAMC, which has assets of more than 1.8 trillion yuan ($249.98 billion),and provides mutual funds and exchange traded funds to retail and institutional investors.

The deal was approved amid a flurry of activity between China and Gulf countries aiming to deepen political, economic and financial ties.

#Dubai and #AbuDhabi indexes log sixth straight week of gains | Reuters

Dubai and Abu Dhabi indexes log sixth straight week of gains | Reuters


Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab and Abu Dhabi's benchmark index (.FTFADG), opens new tab logged its sixth straight weekly gain, each closing the week 0.12% higher.

On Friday, Dubai's main share index closed up 0.21% while Abu Dhabi's benchmark was flat.

Dubai's benchmark index surged to a record high last Friday and continued its upward momentum earlier this week, fuelled by a wave of business agreements between the U.S. and the UAE announced during President Donald Trump's recent Gulf tour.

Thursday, 22 May 2025

#Qatar’s Wealth Fund Stays Active in China Despite US Concerns - Bloomberg

Qatar’s Wealth Fund Stays Active in China Despite US Concerns - Bloomberg

Qatar’s $524 billion sovereign wealth fund is continuing to explore investment opportunities in China, even as geopolitical tensions push global investors to tread carefully.

The Qatar Investment Authority is “actively looking at investments in China” but is taking steps to “avoid situations that potentially jeopardize relations with the US,” said Mohammed Al-Hardan, head of technology, media and telecommunications. “We can’t discount China. It is a very significant market,” he said at the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha on Thursday.

Al-Hardan’s comments come amid unease in Washington over a series of artificial intelligence-related deals inked during President Donald Trump’s recent tour of the Middle East. The agreements alarmed China hawks within the US administration, who fear American chip technology could be indirectly routed to Chinese partners via Gulf states, Bloomberg News has reported.

The QIA executive defended those deals, saying ensuring access to advanced chips is a “win-win for the US and the Middle East region.”

Last week, the QIA’s chief executive officer pledged to plow in an additional $500 billion in the US over the next decade. That would mean the fund is set to see its annual outlays into America double in coming years.

OPEC+ Discusses Making Another Super-Sized Oil Output Hike in July - Bloomberg

OPEC+ Discusses Making Another Super-Sized Oil Output Hike in July - Bloomberg


OPEC+ members are discussing making a third consecutive oil production surge in July, to be decided at the group’s meeting in just over a week, delegates said.

An output hike of 411,000 barrels a day for July — triple the amount initially planned — is among options under discussion, although no final agreement has yet been reached, said the delegates, asking not to be named because the information is private. A final decision is due to be taken at a gathering on June 1.

The cartel has helped sink crude prices since announcing 411,000-barrel hikes for May and June — equivalent to about 1% of current OPEC+ output — in a historic break with years of defending oil markets. Oil made a fresh plunge on Thursday, dropping 0.9% to $64.31 a barrel as of 9:13 a.m. in London.

While OPEC+ says the supply increases are to satisfy demand, officials have privately proffered a range of motives, from punishing over-producing members to recouping market share and placating President Donald Trump.

Group leader Saudi Arabia warned errant members such as Kazakhstan and Iraq at their last meeting that it could deliver further production increases unless they fall in line with their quotas. Despite some promises of atonement, the Kazakhs have made little effort to rein in international oil companies operating in the country and continue to export near record levels.

“Our call is for another 411,000 barrel-a-day increase in the OPEC quota in July, similar to May and June,” said Martijn Rats, global oil strategist at Morgan Stanley. “Compliance by the over-producing countries has not changed much, and so far, the previous quota increases have been absorbed by the market.”

In a Bloomberg survey, 25 of 32 traders and analysts predicted OPEC+ will indeed approve a hike of 411,000 barrels a day. Five said they expect the group to revert to a previous schedule of more modest increases, with a boost of 138,000 barrels.

Coinciding with the launch of Trump’s trade war in April, the surprise supply hikes from OPEC+ initially took a brutal toll on oil prices, sending crude to a four-year low near $60 a barrel in London. Futures have recovered since then as the White House rolled back some of its tariffs.

Even so, many forecasters now have a bearish outlook for the market this year. Last week, the International Energy Agency predicted that global oil demand growth will slow during the remainder of 2025 after a robust first quarter due to economic headwinds.

Consequently, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has predicted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners will pause further hikes after agreeing on the increase for July.

Eight key OPEC+ nations will hold a video-conference on June 1 to settle July production levels. The full 22-nation alliance will also hold a set of virtual meetings on May 28, where it will have the opportunity to review underlying production quotas for 2025 and 2026.

“If there is indeed a shift in policy toward market share and away from price defense, it then makes sense to unwind quickly,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of oil research and analytics at Onyx Commodities Ltd. “It’s a little like a band-aid: you pull it off in one swoop and not slowly.”

#SaudiArabia settles lower, worst weekly performance in over a month | Reuters

Saudi Arabia settles lower, worst weekly performance in over a month | Reuters


Saudi Arabia's main stock index closed lower on Thursday, clocking its worst weekly performance in over a month, after official reports showed that crude oil exports in March declined.

The kingdom's stock index (.TASI), opens new tab shed 1.02% on Thursday, underperforming its peers in the Middle East. It was down 2.5% for the week.

Official data on Wednesday showed the country's crude oil exports in March fell to 5.754 million barrels per day from 6.547 million bpd in February.

Oil prices, a catalyst for stock markets in the Gulf, also dropped by more than a percent after Bloomberg reported OPEC+ was discussing a production increase for July, which raised worries that global supply could exceed demand growth. O/R

Dubai's benchmark index (.DFMGI), opens new tab snapped two consecutive sessions of decline, ending 0.26% higher. UAE-based insurer Dubai Insurance (DINC.DU), opens new tab was the top gainer on the index, jumping 15% to a near 21-year high.

The index has been bolstered by a slew of business agreements between the U.S. and UAE announced last week during President Donald Trump's Gulf Tour.

Elsewhere, the main stock indices in Abu Dhabi (.FTFADGI), opens new tab and Qatar (.QSI), opens new tab ended the session flat on Thursday. Qatar's benchmark index saw its biggest weekly rise since October 2024.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab, closed up 0.44% ahead of an expected rate cut by the country's central bank later on Thursday.

Wednesday, 21 May 2025

#UAE IPO: #Dubai Ruler’s Firm Gets $15 Billion in Orders for REIT Listing - Bloomberg

UAE IPO: Dubai Ruler’s Firm Gets $15 Billion in Orders for REIT Listing - Bloomberg


Dubai Holding attracted $15 billion in orders for the $584 million initial public offering of its residential real estate investment trust, the latest sign of investor interest in the city’s booming property market.

The investment firm owned by the emirate’s ruler boosted the size of the offer earlier this week and had demand for all shares within minutes of opening books on the deal. Dubai Residential REIT’s listing will be the city’s first IPO of the year.

The final price of the Dubai Residential REIT offering was set at 1.10 dirhams ($0.30) per unit, the top end of the marketed range, implying a market capitalization of $3.9 billion, according to a statement.

The deal comes amid a period of sustained strength in Dubai’s housing market, with prices up as much as 70% over the past four years. The emirate has seen an influx of new residents since the coronavirus pandemic, lured by easy visas and low taxes, which has boosted demand for housing and offices.

But Dubai’s transformation into one of the world’s hottest property markets is also increasingly pricing out many buyers, leading to a revival of interest in real estate investment trusts — a rarity in the region. Some buyers are also turning to fractional ownership apps that require payments as low as $136.

The size of the offering was increased on Monday to 1.95 billion units, up from 1.63 billion, citing strong international and local demand. That brings the free float to 15%, up from the originally planned 12.5%.

Dubai Residential will be the Gulf Cooperation Council’s first listed residential leasing-focused entity of its kind, with a gross asset value of 21.6 billion dirhams — nearly double the combined total of the region’s five largest REITs, the firm said.

Emirates NBD Capital, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. are joint global coordinators on the deal. Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Arqaam Capital and First Abu Dhabi Bank are joint bookrunners.

The listing joins a broader wave of IPO activity across the Middle East, as companies press ahead with public offerings despite global market jitters tied to US trade policy. In Saudi Arabia, an airline, a hospital operator and a cardboard manufacturer have also launched share sales in recent weeks.

#Saudi Airline Flynas Draws $109 Billion In Orders for IPO - Bloomberg

Saudi Airline Flynas Draws $109 Billion In Orders for IPO - Bloomberg


Saudi Arabia’s Flynas Co. attracted about 410 billion riyals ($109 billion) in orders for its $1.1 billion initial public offering, underscoring strong investor appetite for Middle Eastern listings.

The low-cost carrier priced its share sale at 80 riyals apiece, the top of the marketed range, implying a market capitalization of 13.7 billion riyals.

The institutional tranche was nearly 100 times oversubscribed on strong local and international demand, according to a statement on Wednesday. With retail orders still to come, the final book is expected to be even larger.

Flynas’ planned listing on the Riyadh stock exchange will comprise a mix of new shares and stock offered by existing investors including Prince Alwaleed bin Talal’s Kingdom Holding Co. and National Flight Services Co. The proceeds are earmarked for fleet expansion and the launch of additional operational hubs.

A rebound in global stock prices is luring firms looking to go public off the sidelines after the worst of the tariff-induced market volatility appears to be over. In the Middle East, which has been a hub for new share sales over the past few years, a handful of companies have launched IPOs in recent weeks and garnered strong demand.

Saudi hospital operator Specialized Medical Co.’s $500 million IPO sold out in hours, and cardboard manufacturer United Carton Industries Co. drew more than $20 billion in orders.

Over in the United Arab Emirates, Dubai Holding attracted $15 billion in orders for the $584 million IPO of its residential real estate investment trust.

#SaudiArabia's stock index sees worst session in six weeks | Reuters

Saudi Arabia's stock index sees worst session in six weeks | Reuters


Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index (.TASI), opens new tab logged its worst session in six weeks, ending the day 1.2% lower, while most other major Gulf markets also closed in the red, as investors worried about mounting fiscal pressures in major economies.

Moody's recent downgrade of the U.S. credit rating has shaken investor confidence, especially amid concerns that President Donald Trump's proposed tax cuts could add $3 trillion–$5 trillion to the existing $36 trillion debt. Persistent trade deadlocks and pressure from key partners to ease tariffs have only deepened the unease.

External pressures dampened regional market sentiment, with investors closely monitoring talks surrounding Trump's proposed tax cut bill, Joseph Dahrieh, Managing Principal at Tickmill said in a note.

Meanwhile, official data showed that Saudi Arabia's crude exports in March fell to 5.754 million barrels per day (bpd) from 6.547 million bpd in February. Oil prices rose more than 1% on Wednesday.

Both stock markets in UAE also settled lower, with Dubai's main share index (.DFMGI), opens new tab down 0.53% and Abu Dhabi's benchmark index (.FTFADGI), opens new tab 0.42% lower.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab extended gains to a second session, closing up 0.66%.

Egypt's central bank is expected to lower overnight interest rates by a median of 175 basis points on Thursday, a Reuters poll showed.

Market sentiment is being bolstered by growing optimism that the central bank may cut rates at its upcoming meeting, Dahrieh added.