Wednesday, 15 January 2020

Morgan Stanley Is Biggest Aramco Bear as Banks Begin Ratings - Bloomberg

Morgan Stanley Is Biggest Aramco Bear as Banks Begin Ratings - Bloomberg:

A month after the world’s largest initial public offering, Saudi Aramco’s investment banks aren’t exactly bullish, with most recommending investors avoid the stock as they kicked off research coverage.

Of the 13 banks tracked by Bloomberg that have begun following the stock, two recommend buying, seven have hold ratings and four say sell. The average 12-month price target is 32.64 riyals, a 5.9% drop from current levels, with Morgan Stanley, at 28.10 riyals, the lowest among the banks that arranged the sale.


The offering was hampered by investors’ unwillingness to value the company at $2 trillion, as sought by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Investment banks’ estimates ran from $1.1 trillion to $2.5 trillion, but when fund managers balked at the high end, the kingdom scrapped a planned international offering and sold shares only on the domestic market.

The stock price already reflects Aramco’s strengths, such as its low production costs, long reserve life and strong free cash flow, according to Morgan Stanley, which has an underperform rating.

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