GCC Market Analytics: Weekly GCC Trend Analysis

will post the following trend analysis of the GCC markets on a weekly basis. Hopefully everything is self explanatory but if not please refer to the Notes section at the end of this post.

Enjoy.

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Notes:
1. In the "Current Trend Conditions" section the short-term, medium-term and long-term trend values are determined by dual moving averages. The trend value is "Up" when the the shorter length moving average is greater the longer length moving average. The trend value is "Down" when the the shorter length moving average is less then the longer length moving average. For more information on dual moving averages see previous post here.
2. Dual moving average parameters are specific to each index and time-frame (short, medium and long).

3. The "Outlook" value can be "Very Bullish," "Bullish," "Neutral," "Bearish" or "Very Bearish." The value is determined by the historical performance of the index when the same short, medium and long-term trend conditions were in evidence in the past.

4. The top chart shows a plot of the historical price performance of the index. Highlighted on the chart are the past periods when the current trend conditions were in evidence in the past

5. The bottom chart shows the non-compounded percentage returns of the index when the current trend condition were in evidence in the past.

* username: rupertbu